Predictions for the 2028 Republican primary field?
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  Predictions for the 2028 Republican primary field?
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Author Topic: Predictions for the 2028 Republican primary field?  (Read 2124 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: February 15, 2024, 02:36:33 AM »

What are your predictions for the 2028 Republican primary field?
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ShadowRocket
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« Reply #1 on: February 15, 2024, 05:15:48 PM »

I'm probably missing a few:

Ron DeSantis
Nikki Haley
Glenn Youngkin
JD Vance
Josh Hawley
Tim Scott
Ted Cruz
Tom Cotton
Mike Pompeo
Greg Abbott
Brian Kemp
Elise Stefanik
Kristi Noem
Matt Gaetz (if he's not elected Governor of FL in 2026)
Margorie Taylor Greene
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Compuzled_One
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« Reply #2 on: February 16, 2024, 11:44:18 AM »

It'll probably be the largest field ever-maybe up to 50 candidates. Trump will run again if he's alive. Beyond that, the field of this year will run, Cruz and Rubio will make a shot, and Brian Kemp could try to lock down the Anti-Trump wing (which by that point will likely return to the party).
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #3 on: February 16, 2024, 11:53:40 AM »

Assuming Trump wins, his VP would have the inside track to being the early frontrunner.  That's maybe Elise Stefanik, Tim Scott or Joni Ernst.

Other possibilities include:

Greg Abbott
Tom Cotton
Ted Cruz
Ron DeSantis
Greg Gianforte
Kari Lake (assuming she wins AZ-SEN)
Kristi Noem
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
J.D. Vance
Glenn Youngkin

Brian Kemp is not somebody who has any ambition beyond Atlanta.  Governor is his career-topping gig.
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dw93
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« Reply #4 on: February 18, 2024, 03:28:59 PM »

If Biden Wins:

There's a somewhat legitimate debate in the GOP after Inauguration 2025 as to whether the party should move beyond MAGA. Roughly half decide to stay the course, the other half wanna move on but aren't in agreement as to how to do it. At this point Trump's running mate IMO is either gonna be Stefanik or Noem, whichever one gets it will make a run as the "heir apparent," but running mate or not I can see Stefanik sitting it out and attempting to work her way up in the House leadership ranks. Vance, Hawley, and possibly Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Marjorie Taylor Green, and Matt Gaetz make a run for the MAGA vote too. Tim Scott and possibly Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, and Marco Rubio make a go as the in between MAGA and Never Trump candidates, which goes nowhere. Youngkin and, if Youngkin proves to be a paper tiger early enough, Brian Kemp run from the Anti Trump wing, which will likely be stronger in the aftermath of a Trump loss. If Trump is alive and well enough to play kingmaker, whichever MAGA candidate strokes his massive ego and kisses the ring the most gets the endorsement and the nomination, if he isn't, the MAGA vote splits and a Youngkin or Kemp get nominated.

If Trump wins:

Whoever he picks as VP is likely gonna be his handpicked successor, unless said VP crosses him, in which case he'd just crown another MAGA goon to take the nomination.  Hell there's a good chance his VP will be the incumbent President and end up running unopposed for the nomination.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #5 on: February 18, 2024, 05:30:00 PM »

Assuming Trump wins, his VP would have the inside track to being the early frontrunner.  That's maybe Elise Stefanik, Tim Scott or Joni Ernst.

If Trump wins:

Whoever he picks as VP is likely gonna be his handpicked successor, unless said VP crosses him, in which case he'd just crown another MAGA goon to take the nomination.  Hell there's a good chance his VP will be the incumbent President and end up running unopposed for the nomination.

It looks like Trump is not selecting a VP to be the heir in 2028 and there’s a strong possibility they end up not running.
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dw93
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« Reply #6 on: February 18, 2024, 07:31:08 PM »

Assuming Trump wins, his VP would have the inside track to being the early frontrunner.  That's maybe Elise Stefanik, Tim Scott or Joni Ernst.

If Trump wins:

Whoever he picks as VP is likely gonna be his handpicked successor, unless said VP crosses him, in which case he'd just crown another MAGA goon to take the nomination.  Hell there's a good chance his VP will be the incumbent President and end up running unopposed for the nomination.

It looks like Trump is not selecting a VP to be the heir in 2028 and there’s a strong possibility they end up not running.

Well if that's the case, who do you think runs in the event that Trump wins?
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #7 on: February 18, 2024, 07:38:23 PM »

Assuming Trump wins, his VP would have the inside track to being the early frontrunner.  That's maybe Elise Stefanik, Tim Scott or Joni Ernst.

If Trump wins:

Whoever he picks as VP is likely gonna be his handpicked successor, unless said VP crosses him, in which case he'd just crown another MAGA goon to take the nomination.  Hell there's a good chance his VP will be the incumbent President and end up running unopposed for the nomination.

It looks like Trump is not selecting a VP to be the heir in 2028 and there’s a strong possibility they end up not running.

Well if that's the case, who do you think runs in the event that Trump wins?

A close Trump ally like maybe J.D. Vance, or maybe even one of the Trump kids.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #8 on: February 22, 2024, 12:02:20 AM »
« Edited: February 22, 2024, 12:12:41 AM by Dr Oz Lost Party! »

I'm probably missing a few:

Ron DeSantis
Nikki Haley
Glenn Youngkin
JD Vance
Josh Hawley
Tim Scott
Ted Cruz
Tom Cotton
Mike Pompeo
Greg Abbott
Brian Kemp
Elise Stefanik
Kristi Noem
Matt Gaetz (if he's not elected Governor of FL in 2026)
Margorie Taylor Greene


Yeesh. I'm biased, obviously, but what an underwhelming field. It really says a lot about the state of the party when Brian Kemp might actually be their strongest candidate here. I could see Shapiro, Whitmer, Moore, and even Newsom easily beating everybody on this list in a matchup.
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Samof94
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« Reply #9 on: February 24, 2024, 07:22:39 AM »

Does Don Jr Run in 2028?
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Compuzled_One
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« Reply #10 on: February 24, 2024, 10:18:28 AM »

If his dad is alive, no. If he isn't, yes, but by that point the MAGA wing will be divided and he doesn't have the charisma.
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Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver
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« Reply #11 on: February 26, 2024, 09:48:44 PM »

Trump, regardless of what happens in 2024 (he tries to run for a third term in 2028 if he wins this year).
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #12 on: February 26, 2024, 10:15:30 PM »

Trump, regardless of what happens in 2024 (he tries to run for a third term in 2028 if he wins this year).

Will he get the nomination? And will he succeed?
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MABA 2020
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« Reply #13 on: February 27, 2024, 02:30:01 PM »

It'll be a carbon copy of 2024, Trump runs and crushes the field because the GOP is a cult. This is especially if Trump wins and is running for a third term constitution be damned.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #14 on: February 27, 2024, 11:26:23 PM »

It'll be a carbon copy of 2024, Trump runs and crushes the field because the GOP is a cult. This is especially if Trump wins and is running for a third term constitution be damned.

Trump won’t run for a third term if he wins and he will not be allowed on any ballots nationwide.
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MABA 2020
MakeAmericaBritishAgain
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« Reply #15 on: February 28, 2024, 01:15:54 PM »

It'll be a carbon copy of 2024, Trump runs and crushes the field because the GOP is a cult. This is especially if Trump wins and is running for a third term constitution be damned.

Trump won’t run for a third term if he wins and he will not be allowed on any ballots nationwide.

His second term will be all about trying to establish an authoritarian christian state, the question of whether he will be allowed on any ballots depends on how successful he is but he will certainly try I am 100% sure of this.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #16 on: February 28, 2024, 01:37:04 PM »

It'll be a carbon copy of 2024, Trump runs and crushes the field because the GOP is a cult. This is especially if Trump wins and is running for a third term constitution be damned.

Trump won’t run for a third term if he wins and he will not be allowed on any ballots nationwide.

His second term will be all about trying to establish an authoritarian christian state, the question of whether he will be allowed on any ballots depends on how successful he is but he will certainly try I am 100% sure of this.

Yeah maybe he’ll try but I doubt he’ll succeed.
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MABA 2020
MakeAmericaBritishAgain
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« Reply #17 on: February 28, 2024, 02:39:30 PM »

It'll be a carbon copy of 2024, Trump runs and crushes the field because the GOP is a cult. This is especially if Trump wins and is running for a third term constitution be damned.

Trump won’t run for a third term if he wins and he will not be allowed on any ballots nationwide.

His second term will be all about trying to establish an authoritarian christian state, the question of whether he will be allowed on any ballots depends on how successful he is but he will certainly try I am 100% sure of this.

Yeah maybe he’ll try but I doubt he’ll succeed.

Maybe not, he'll have the entire Republican Party backing him but hopefully others stand by the constitution. I'd rather not find out either way.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #18 on: February 29, 2024, 03:07:06 PM »

Katie Britt is giving the SOTU response: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/alabama-sen-katie-britt-deliver-gop-response-state-union-address-rcna140574
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2016
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« Reply #19 on: February 29, 2024, 05:55:25 PM »

WOO-HOO!!!
My most favored GOP Senator out of the 1st Termers that were elected in 2022.
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TheHegemonist
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« Reply #20 on: February 29, 2024, 09:07:53 PM »

I feel like we should just consider Trump to be the presumptive nominee for every subsequent Republican presidential primary until he croaks.
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Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #21 on: March 07, 2024, 06:35:51 PM »

Josh Hawley
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MarkD
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« Reply #22 on: March 07, 2024, 08:49:17 PM »

I think it's highly probable that Ted Cruz will run.
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Medal506
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« Reply #23 on: March 09, 2024, 06:14:31 PM »

I think it's highly probable that Ted Cruz will run.

That’s if he wins his re election. If he loses this year he might wait until 2032 like Santorum did with 2008/2012 when he lost his re election.
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Samof94
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« Reply #24 on: March 10, 2024, 11:18:55 AM »

Someone who wins reelection as Governor in 2026.
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