Yougov - tie
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  Yougov - tie
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Author Topic: Yougov - tie  (Read 506 times)
MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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« on: February 14, 2024, 10:11:49 AM »

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_bC3K16R.pdf

Biden - 44
Trump - 44
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: February 14, 2024, 10:15:57 AM »

Biden is on the upswing
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Redban
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« Reply #2 on: February 14, 2024, 10:21:08 AM »

Biden Age Affecting Presidential Duties:

54% say his age severely limits his ability to do the job
12% say no effect

Trump Age Affecting Presidential Duties:

24% say his age severely limits his ability to do the job
31% say no effect
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Redban
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« Reply #3 on: February 14, 2024, 10:25:19 AM »

Also, the sample is D+10, and we're still tied

Dem: 38
Indies: 35
Repubs: 28

Even pushing the leaners, it's still D+7

Dem: 45
Indies: 17
Repub: 38

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4 on: February 14, 2024, 10:29:02 AM »

Also, the sample is D+10, and we're still tied

Dem: 38
Indies: 35
Repubs: 28

Even pushing the leaners, it's still D+7

Dem: 45
Indies: 17
Repub: 38



It's always weighted. And usually weighted to the same thing, about D+2:

The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, 2020 election turnout and Presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given around November 1, 2022, and is weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (33% Democratic, 31% Republican). The weights range from 0.051 to 6.54, with a mean of one and a standard deviation of 0.887.
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GAinDC
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« Reply #5 on: February 14, 2024, 10:30:59 AM »

Redban, I missed you during the discussion last night of the NY 03 race! You know, the one where there were actual election results...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: February 14, 2024, 10:37:26 AM »

Biden Age Affecting Presidential Duties:

54% say his age severely limits his ability to do the job
12% say no effect

Trump Age Affecting Presidential Duties:

24% say his age severely limits his ability to do the job
31% say no effect


You guys lost KY G and NY 3 polls aren't votes
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #7 on: February 14, 2024, 05:15:55 PM »

Redban, I missed you during the discussion last night of the NY 03 race! You know, the one where there were actual election results...

Yet another election where Biden's unpopularity didn't seem to matter. And the Pilip campaign tried. I saw several ads where they quoted Suozzi saying he is "100% behind President Biden."

But that election fueled by bscklash to him, which we haven't seen since maybe 2021, is coming though! Just you wait! Republicans are just hibernating for the winter!
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GAinDC
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« Reply #8 on: February 14, 2024, 05:31:20 PM »

Redban, I missed you during the discussion last night of the NY 03 race! You know, the one where there were actual election results...

Yet another election where Biden's unpopularity didn't seem to matter. And the Pilip campaign tried. I saw several ads where they quoted Suozzi saying he is "100% behind President Biden."

But that election fueled by bscklash to him, which we haven't seen since maybe 2021, is coming though! Just you wait! Republicans are just hibernating for the winter!

People may not love Biden, but they don't hate him either.

Republicans don't seem to get that. They think attacking Biden is enough to win, but without any policy proposals, their appeals ring hollow.
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kwabbit
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« Reply #9 on: February 14, 2024, 09:19:46 PM »

This poll seems to have Trump with net positive favorability. Might be the first time that has ever happened. Probably a weird sample and definitely weird to have a tie given that.

Interesting to see that most royals are positive with both parties but negative with independents. Except Prince Harry, where there’s a partisan split.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #10 on: February 14, 2024, 09:24:00 PM »

This poll seems to have Trump with net positive favorability. Might be the first time that has ever happened. Probably a weird sample and definitely weird to have a tie given that.

That 50-46 favorable rating for Trump with people under 30 is quite something.
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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« Reply #11 on: February 15, 2024, 07:52:04 AM »

Redban, I missed you during the discussion last night of the NY 03 race! You know, the one where there were actual election results...

Yet another election where Biden's unpopularity didn't seem to matter. And the Pilip campaign tried. I saw several ads where they quoted Suozzi saying he is "100% behind President Biden."

But that election fueled by bscklash to him, which we haven't seen since maybe 2021, is coming though! Just you wait! Republicans are just hibernating for the winter!

People may not love Biden, but they don't hate him either.

Republicans don't seem to get that. They think attacking Biden is enough to win, but without any policy proposals, their appeals ring hollow.
This tbh
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jaichind
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« Reply #12 on: February 15, 2024, 08:27:30 AM »

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13 on: February 15, 2024, 09:01:38 AM »

This has happened a few times with YouGov recently, it just depends on their sample. It happened maybe a month or two ago then it dropped back to normal within a week or two after.
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