Monmouth - SC- Trump +26

[bilaps]

Trump 58
Haley 32

https://twitter.com/sfcpoll/status/1753012886404829519

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Haley with +4 favorability.

[Redban]

Biden won due to fraud = 85% of SC Trump voters.  #facepalm

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden didn't win with Fraud, Trump tried to steal it, that's why Biden is ahead by 6 in QY poll

[wbrocks67]

Haley with +4 favorability.

Stunning for her own state.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Man has Trump poisoned the minds of so many. So sad for this country.

[Redban]

Haley’s favorability dropped because of the delusional Trump loyalists. When 85% of them still think Biden won cause of fraud, then you know they are gullible. Hence, it’s not “stunning” that they would turn on Haley when  Trump tells them to do so, even in her home state

https://twitter.com/sfcpoll/status/1753015811466240259

[ꙮ]

58/32 is actually closer than I was expecting at this point, but "I only lost by 25" doesn't really cut it in your home state.

[ralstonfan65]

I suspect Haley takes most of these undecideds, but we will see...

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

58/32 is actually closer than I was expecting at this point, but "I only lost by 25" doesn't really cut it in your home state.

I think her goal now is to position herself for 2028 when Trump is either out of office or unable to run. The problem is, the Republican Party she was a part of is no longer the same party. She'd lose to a DeSantis or Vivek or whoever else MAGA runs.

[EliteLX]

It was over long, long ago (really the first poll that had Desantis down in Florida).. but this is kind of just the wave as he closes the door on the motorcade.

And just to be clear, despite any pontificated nuances and (almost exclusively liberal) political journalists fever dreams over the "primary", Nikki Haley never had a snowball's chance in hell.

[Angel of Death]

When 85% of them still think Biden won cause of fraud

I think you're misinterpreting that figure. Of those who believe Biden won due to fraud, that is the percentage that would vote for Trump.

[Redban]

When 85% of them still think Biden won cause of fraud

I think you're misinterpreting that figure. Of those who believe Biden won due to fraud, that is the percentage that would vote for Trump.

The tweet says her favorability dropped the most among voters who like Trump, and voters who like Trump believe, ovwrhelmingly, that Biden won by fraud. So the gullible Trump supporters are driving Haley’s drop in favorables

[Eraserhead]

She'll do much worse everywhere else in the deep south too.

I predict she drops out a few days before the vote.

[bilaps]

Me too. No way she sees this a week before primary and continues.

[emailking]

Monmouth is a good poll. Trump up by 20+ is very likely.

[Progressive Pessimist]

She'll do much worse everywhere else in the deep south too.

I predict she drops out a few days before the vote.

I think as long as she keeps her donor base she'll probably stay in until Super Tuesday at least.

She seems to really be banking on the unlikely event of Trump being removed from the ballot or being denied the nomination due to his legal woes.

[ꙮ]

She'll delude herself into staying in as long as she tops 40%. It's not like she has anything to lose at this point.

I see her actually dropping out after getting crushed on Super Tuesday in a month. Even if she nabs DC or the Virgin Islands or something there's no way she'd be able to justify staying in after going down 1000 delegates.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

She'll delude herself into staying in as long as she tops 40%. It's not like she has anything to lose at this point.

I see her actually dropping out after getting crushed on Super Tuesday in a month. Even if she nabs DC or the Virgin Islands or something there's no way she'd be able to justify staying in after going down 1000 delegates.

I don't think she's delusional. I think she's going to keep running as long as the donor class backs her because she may think the SCOTUS will rule that Trump is ineligible to run under the 14th amendment. It's a longshot, but what does she have to lose?

[ꙮ]

She'll delude herself into staying in as long as she tops 40%. It's not like she has anything to lose at this point.

I see her actually dropping out after getting crushed on Super Tuesday in a month. Even if she nabs DC or the Virgin Islands or something there's no way she'd be able to justify staying in after going down 1000 delegates.

I don't think she's delusional. I think she's going to keep running as long as the donor class backs her because she may think the SCOTUS will rule that Trump is ineligible to run under the 14th amendment. It's a longshot, but what does she have to lose?

Even if Trump is ruled ineligible (there is a 0.0% chance of this happening) Haley won't be the nominee. He will have accumulated a large number of delegates, probably a majority, by the time a ruling is made. They would be more likely to support a pro-Trump politician at the convention even if Haley is the only candidate still in by that point.