Urban areas over 1 million that voted Trump
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  Urban areas over 1 million that voted Trump
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mileslunn
Junior Chimp
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« on: January 31, 2024, 12:51:35 AM »

According to US census, the following urban areas exceed one million and note this is based on US census definition of urban area, not MSA as latter includes nearby rural areas.  Looking through list I cannot find any that voted for Trump.  Oklahoma City I know Trump did but falls just under a million.  Jacksonville maybe as while Biden won Duval county, urban area I believe spills over into neighboring counties and Trump won those solidly.  Below is list and if Biden won all then what was Trump's best showing and just approximate is fine.  If anyone has time results of each be interesting, but looking more for answer on which ones Trump won or if didn't closest.  Below is the 44 urban areas US census lists as having over a million people.

New York–Jersey City–Newark- Yonkers, NY–NJ   
Los Angeles–Long Beach–Anaheim, CA   
Chicago, IL–IN   
Miami–Fort Lauderdale, FL   
Houston, TX   
Dallas–Fort Worth–Arlington, TX   
Philadelphia, PA–NJ–DE–MD   
Washington–Arlington, DC–VA–MD   
Atlanta, GA   
Boston, MA–NH   
Phoenix–Mesa–Scottsdale, AZ   
Detroit, MI
Seattle–Tacoma, WA   
San Francisco–Oakland, CA   
San Diego, CA   
Minneapolis–St. Paul, MN   
Tampa–St. Petersburg, FL   
Denver–Aurora, CO   
Riverside–San Bernardino, CA   
Baltimore, MD   
Las Vegas–Henderson–Paradise, NV   
St. Louis, MO–IL   
Portland, OR–WA   
San Antonio, TX   
Sacramento, CA   
Orlando, FL   
San Jose, CA   
Austin, TX   
Pittsburgh, PA   
Cleveland, OH   
Indianapolis, IN   
Cincinnati, OH–KY   
Kansas City, MO–KS   
Columbus, OH   1
Virginia Beach–Norfolk, VA   
Charlotte, NC–SC   
Milwaukee, WI   
Providence, RI–MA   
Jacksonville, FL   
Salt Lake City, UT   
Nashville-Davidson, TN   
Raleigh, NC   
Richmond, VA   
Memphis, TN–MS–AR   
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Del Tachi
Republican95
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« Reply #1 on: January 31, 2024, 11:17:27 AM »

According to Bloomberg, Trump outright won the following metro areas on your list:

Tampa–St. Petersburg, FL (50.6%)
Pittsburgh, PA (50.4%)
Indianapolis, IN (50.1%)
Cincinnati, OH–KY (56.1%)
Jacksonville, FL (55.7%)
Nashville-Davidson, TN (54.0%)

But a lot of them were very close:  Houston, Dallas, San Antonio, Phoenix, and St. Louis were all only plurality wins for Biden, for example (and would very likely flip in a slightly more GOP-friendly environment.)
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mileslunn
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: January 31, 2024, 01:45:17 PM »

According to Bloomberg, Trump outright won the following metro areas on your list:

Tampa–St. Petersburg, FL (50.6%)
Pittsburgh, PA (50.4%)
Indianapolis, IN (50.1%)
Cincinnati, OH–KY (56.1%)
Jacksonville, FL (55.7%)
Nashville-Davidson, TN (54.0%)

But a lot of them were very close:  Houston, Dallas, San Antonio, Phoenix, and St. Louis were all only plurality wins for Biden, for example (and would very likely flip in a slightly more GOP-friendly environment.)

Interesting guessing though this was MSA not urban area as probably included a lot of surrounding rural areas within commuting distance as pretty sure if just built up parts Biden would have won all those save perhaps Jacksonville and maybe Tampa-St. Petersburg.  I've found rural areas within metro areas vote almost as heavily GOP as rural areas outside.  Still I imagine if you took just urban portion, Democrats would do a bit better, GOP a bit worse so probably at least gives good indication.  Would have to do precinct by precinct breakdown and also use US census map so a bit of a challenge on that front.
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