Estimate RFK Jr in Massachusetts

[jman123]

What percentage of vote do you think RFK Jr will receive in Massachusetts, ancestral home of the Kennedies

[Redban]

25-30%

[7,052,770]

2% seems generous

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He's not on the ballot yet except NH and UT

[TDAS04]

25-30%

lol

He’ll underperform the Libertarian ticket from 2016 that included Bill Weld.

[PeteB]

Unfortunately for Bobby, most of the Kennedy clan has distanced themselves from him, so MA may not view him as favorably as before.  If he is on the ballot, he may get 2-3%  but I doubt it.

[pbrower2a]

2% seems generous

That's about right. He is a crank. 

[ReaganLimbaugh]

20 to 30 percent.  Those that are suggesting he will get 2% are the like the same peope that said Trump will never win.  Never underestimate the Kennedy name in Mass.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

25-30%

Would that mean he ends in front of Trump?

[LAKISYLVANIA]

I'm saying 10%. Maybe somewhat higher?

2% is ridicilously low. 20-30 is ridicilously high.

MA isn't a swing state, ppl know that so they might be more inclined to follow gut here or protest vote without the danger of trump taking their state.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

He's not on the ballot yet except NH and UT

In a forum where we already discuss many hypotheticals... .

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He isn't in the ballot yet on 50 States, he's an R plant to get Trump elected, that's why Redban likes him so mich . If Trump gets in on a split vote he won't get nothing passed Collins and Murkowski gonna block everything with a D Filibuster

Biden is gonna win anyways watch Biden surge he waited a little too long to attack Trump like Haley did, but the GE isn't the primary

[Eraserhead]

It'll probably be one of his worst states. I'm not kidding.

[Harlow]

20 to 30 percent.  Those that are suggesting he will get 2% are the like the same peope that said Trump will never win.  Never underestimate the Kennedy name in Mass.

It has definitely lost its sway in recent years, as made evident by JPKIII flaming out in 2020 against Markey.

That being said, my guess is 6%. I fully expect most liberals to come home to Biden even if Kennedy shows some strength in polling at first, before people really spend time with him. Absolutely no way he gets more than 12%.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

He'll do best in the working class Irish townie places near Boston (think Weymouth, Woburn, parts of Dorchester etc.) but will still only muster 5% or so there, and closer to 2% statewide.

[Progressive Pessimist]

1% at most.

[7,052,770]

There won't be any significant number of liberals backing RFK. It will be kooks and conspiracists and people who probably wouldn't be voting Democratic regardless.

[GregTheGreat657]

5%, which I would say would be one of his worst states. 3rd parties rarely do well in Massachusetts, and this isn't several decades ago, where the Kennedy name would have gotten him a far more significant amount of votes.

[coloradocowboi]

5%, which I would say would be one of his worst states. 3rd parties rarely do well in Massachusetts, and this isn't several decades ago, where the Kennedy name would have gotten him a far more significant amount of votes.

Agreed. Too many college voters in ma

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

8-12%

[President Johnson]

About one percent. Get real, Jack.

[DPKdebator]

2-5%. While the Kennedy brand is slowly fading in star power and the family is not backing RFK Jr., there is still a market for the name and there are people who will vote for him because of it. I've seen a few Kennedy lawn signs in my hometown, which is obviously anecdotal evidence but it does show there are people willing to support him.

[ClassicElectionEnthusiast]

Maybe 5%-10% for a lot of the reasons referenced earlier (the Kennedy name not being as revered in Massachusetts as it was even 10-15 years ago; RFK Jr. being the pariah of the family)

[Sir Mohamed]

No offense, everything above 2% is delusional. Let alone double digits. More likely is he'll barely crack 1%. You're vastly overestimating this clown.

[ProudModerate2]

25-30%