If Biden loses in 2024, what will be the primary reason?

[EJ24]

?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He won't lose

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

The economy getting worse. Supply chains are showing renewed signs of stress with the Red Sea and Panama Canal blocked which will cause a second wave of inflation; the labor market is showing clear signs of cracking with hiring down, and Middle East tensions are causing massive oil inventory draws that sooner or later has to rapidly increase the price of gas unless there is a massive recession. Interest rate hikes are having their lagged effect on a lot of companies.

[Ferguson97]

The economy, but why even include a "he will not lose" option when the premise is conditional on him losing?

[PeteB]

The economy for sure.  Tag to that his age and people's mixed opinion of VP Harris, as the heir apparent, and you have the possible reason.  However, assuming he goes against Trump he will probably win in spite of the economy or his age.

[SnowLabrador]

Something else, namely his support of Israel's genocide against the Palestinian people.

[Catholics vs. Convicts]

It’s always the economy.

[Mr. Smith]

Everything except Opt. 3 could work, but I voted for the poor campaign option.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I’m still waiting to hear how the economy is bad? By all metrics it’s strong and inflation has come way down. Prices are never going back to 2019 levels

[ProgressiveModerate]

Personally of the belief Biden will win, but if he does lose, I think the biggest reason will be #4. Dems could still have decent turnout, but turnout relative to Trump's base is more important.

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

If Joe Biden loses to Donald Trump, it will be for one reason only: that America is full of terrible human beings.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Third parties siphoning votes from him/complacency again like in 2016.

[S019]

Mix of 1 and 2, but mostly 2

[MT Treasurer]

Accidental president who arrogantly overestimated himself and fundamentally misunderstood under which lucky/flukish circumstances he was elected the first time around while forgetting about his own underperformance in that election just because he won. His inability to stand up for his base and lay out a vision for the nation, create a movement, project leadership and independence, and build/defend what should have been a robust coalition proved more decisive than any concerns about his age or even the economy. He was the wrong man at the wrong time.