Poll: Does Haley still have a chance of winning the GOP nomination?

[ProudModerate2]

Poll Question:
Does Haley still have a chance of winning the GOP nomination?


After trump wins in both Iowa and New Hampshire, and Haley still promising to take the fight to at least South Carolina (mid Feb), what are your thoughts on her chance of winning it.

[Lambsbread]

No one not named Donald Trump has ever had any chance of winning the nomination.

[President Johnson]

She ever had a chance to begin with?

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Lol no

[mjba257]

trump could have a health emergency. or the courts take him out. or something else. we are in unprecedented times so anything can happen

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No, and yes polls were off ABC and ARG this time had it wrong proves my point about Redban obsession with polls they are wrong sometimes especially the Trump up 7 over zBuden polls

[Eraserhead]

trump could have a health emergency. or the courts take him out. or something else. we are in unprecedented times so anything can happen

Those are literally her only paths left.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

She ever had a chance to begin with?

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

trump could have a health emergency. or the courts take him out. or something else. we are in unprecedented times so anything can happen

Those are literally her only paths left.

If that happened Vivek or Rob! would be the nominee, not Haley.

[mjba257]

trump could have a health emergency. or the courts take him out. or something else. we are in unprecedented times so anything can happen

Those are literally her only paths left.

If that happened Vivek or Rob! would be the nominee, not Haley.

No because they won't have the delegates. That's why Haley is staying in. She's trying to accumulate as many delegates as possible to make her the clear alternate should Trump be taken out

[Progressive Pessimist]

Halley's comet has a better chance of appearing...twice!

[PeteB]

trump could have a health emergency. or the courts take him out. or something else. we are in unprecedented times so anything can happen

Those are literally her only paths left.

If that happened Vivek or Rob! would be the nominee, not Haley.

I agree in the case of a health emergency (Trump will endorse whoever is his biggest sycophant or if he physically can't, the party will choose a miniTrump).  If the Courts intervene though, no - as I described in the other thread, Haley has the best chance then (see copy below):
"...In that scenario, Trump has been barred from the election by an impending conviction, GOP is in disarray and Trump is desperate to avoid jail.  The party will not risk splitting and, since Haley is still a candidate, she could easily mount a third party bid and ensure a Biden win if she feels cheated by the party leadership.  She is also a known quantity to voters, having participated in the primaries, and a safer election bet than De Santis whom most voters have forgotten by that time. Trump just wants a GOP president elected, who will grant him a  future pardon, and endorsing Haley is the quickest and easiest way to do that."..

[Blow by blow, the passion dies]

Trump is the only one who can

[Torie]

The Supreme Court will interfere with Trump's plan to be President, so yes.

[Pres Mike]

She never had a chance to begin with

[ProudModerate2]

trump could have a health emergency. or the courts take him out. or something else. we are in unprecedented times so anything can happen

This was my thought also. That is why I voted a "tiny chance" in this poll.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

No one not named Donald Trump has ever had any chance of winning the nomination.

There was a small window of opportunity in December 2022, but instead of seizing upon it they almost rallied around trump instead of attacking him. After that it was a foregone conclusion.

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

I voted "it's over". Sure, she could theoretically end up the nominee if Trump has a stroke, but so could plenty of people who aren't even running right now. Insofar as this is a race, where votes matter, she's lost. (I hope I'm wrong, but I don't think I am.)

[Kleine Scheiße]

"Still?"

[7,052,770]

0% chance unless the Supreme Court declares him ineligible.

[PeteB]

0% chance unless the Supreme Court declares him ineligible.

And the chances of that are definitely higher than 0%.  If the SCOTUS upholds the Colorado ruling, he is toast.  Granted, the chances of that happening are not very high but they are much bigger than zero.

[7,052,770]

0% chance unless the Supreme Court declares him ineligible.

And the chances of that are definitely higher than 0%.  If the SCOTUS upholds the Colorado ruling, he is toast.  Granted, the chances of that happening are not very high but they are much bigger than zero.

Inshallah, although the Court would need to definitively say Colorado is right and apply it nationwide. If they "leave it to the states" it won't make any difference.

[Senator Incitatus]

Only if GOP is some new acronym.

It’s surprising to me how many people on a forum ostensibly about elections have no idea how the presidential nominating processes work.

[mjba257]

0% chance unless the Supreme Court declares him ineligible.

And the chances of that are definitely higher than 0%.  If the SCOTUS upholds the Colorado ruling, he is toast.  Granted, the chances of that happening are not very high but they are much bigger than zero.

After the SCOTUS ruling Monday, Trump shouldn't be so sure he has this thing locked up. With the three liberals + Roberts, they just need one to flip. And if Thomas is forced to recuse himself, that's already half. Of course, with the recent course of events in TX, SCOTUS rulings may not even matter and states may just go ahead and remove him anyway.

[PeteB]

0% chance unless the Supreme Court declares him ineligible.

And the chances of that are definitely higher than 0%.  If the SCOTUS upholds the Colorado ruling, he is toast.  Granted, the chances of that happening are not very high but they are much bigger than zero.

Inshallah, although the Court would need to definitively say Colorado is right and apply it nationwide. If they "leave it to the states" it won't make any difference.

I do think that if SCOTUS reaffirms the Colorado decision, the ruling will be binding.  This is not a matter for the states to decide - you cannot be an insurrectionist against the US in Colorado but not in Texas.  Of course such a decision would light a political fire, and the chances of that happening are still slim, but that is another discussion.