NM-SEN: Nella Domenici (R), Daughter of the former R Senator running

[2016]

https://www.nellaforsenate.com

https://www.kob.com/new-mexico/nella-domenici-launches-2024-us-senate-bid/

[Progressive Pessimist]

There's probably an entire generation of New Mexico voters who don't even remember Pete Domenici.

Hell, I only know him because he is Adam Laxalt's illegitimate father. Real upstanding individual there.

Still safe Heinrich.

[Utah Neolib]

Why? Guess it’s better than a random state legislator? Heinrich is going to win, and might run for governor in 2026 apparently.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Better than nothing. Still a longshot until proven otherwise.

[Oryxslayer]

Better than nothing. Still a longshot until proven otherwise.

It's kinda shocking how the NM GOP seemingly has an indefinite supply (so far) of better than decent candidates that look even better on paper, even though for over a decade they have not been able to win anything without a massive wave at their backs.

[JMT]

Interestingly, Domenici was the CFO at Bridgewater Associates, the hedge fund place Dave McCormick was the CEO of. Both are now running for Senate this year and have questionable ties to the states they are running in.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Better than nothing. Still a longshot until proven otherwise.

It's kinda shocking how the NM GOP seemingly has an indefinite supply (so far) of better than decent candidates that look even better on paper, even though for a decade they have not been able to win anything without a massive wave at their backs.

The state is fairly inelastically D still. Perhaps it's a more Latino version of Minnesota.

[Vosem]

Self-funder, and good last name with people of a certain generation. Might be something here if lightning strikes; Heinrich overperformed in 2018 but underperformed in 2012.

Likely D, I think, but closer to Safe than Leans. If some of the most optimistic polls for Trump are correct this one is clearly on the board. (OTOH, New Mexico is a state where the past several cycles -- 2018/2020/2022 -- have all been really strong for local Democrats, and they clearly have a very competent state party).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Instead of a Landslide Heinrich wins 51/47 like Casey

[MarkD]

There's probably an entire generation of New Mexico voters who don't even remember Pete Domenici.

Hell, I only know him because he is Adam Laxalt's illegitimate father. Real upstanding individual there.

Still safe Heinrich.

It's only been fifteen years since he retired. That's not a generation, from where I'm sitting.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Watch Baldwin do better than Heinrich

[free my dawg]

Very funny to see the town cuck's sister try to outdo her brother.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe D, what has the Domenici family done since once 2008 when Dad retired zilch that's why it's safe D it's not a landslide but Heinrich is gonna win

[Progressive Pessimist]

There's probably an entire generation of New Mexico voters who don't even remember Pete Domenici.

Hell, I only know him because he is Adam Laxalt's illegitimate father. Real upstanding individual there.

Still safe Heinrich.

It's only been fifteen years since he retired. That's not a generation, from where I'm sitting.

You're overestimating Americans' attention spans.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah but they haven't done anything major in the 15 yrs since Dad retired

[oldtimer]

Better than nothing. Still a longshot until proven otherwise.

It's kinda shocking how the NM GOP seemingly has an indefinite supply (so far) of better than decent candidates that look even better on paper, even though for over a decade they have not been able to win anything without a massive wave at their backs.

New Mexico has been stable at D+6 for many presidential elections so far.

So of course it would require Republicans to win the national vote by around 6 to have hopes there, there is some polling that gives them hope but no assurances.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's gonna be a tough race for Heinrich but he is gonna win

[TheTide]

There's probably an entire generation of New Mexico voters who don't even remember Pete Domenici.

Hell, I only know him because he is Adam Laxalt's illegitimate father. Real upstanding individual there.

Still safe Heinrich.

He did serve 36 years in the Senate - around a third of the time that New Mexico has been a state. Being on a forum such as this I suspect you would have stumbled across him in some context without that bit of trivia.

Of course Adam Laxalt is also the grandson of a former Senator.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Funny, she looks like she could be related to Adam Laxalt.

[Senator Incitatus]

She can’t expect more than a slight name recognition boost among the public, but she presumably has deep party and institutional connections that will go a long way. Still not more than a fringe flip, but we can keep an eye on it. Better than Wisconsin at the current rate, anyway.

[coloradocowboi]

I don’t see this being any closer than Lujan’s race given that he is way less popular and was not an incumbent.

[MarkD]

There's probably an entire generation of New Mexico voters who don't even remember Pete Domenici.

Hell, I only know him because he is Adam Laxalt's illegitimate father. Real upstanding individual there.

Still safe Heinrich.

It's only been fifteen years since he retired. That's not a generation, from where I'm sitting.

You're overestimating Americans' attention spans.

Attention spans =/= remembrance. The issue is, out of all of the registered voters of NM who have lived there for at least 15 years, how many of them remember when they had a US Senator by the name of Domenici?

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Bridgewater CFO...

ew

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Better than nothing. Still a longshot until proven otherwise.

It's kinda shocking how the NM GOP seemingly has an indefinite supply (so far) of better than decent candidates that look even better on paper, even though for over a decade they have not been able to win anything without a massive wave at their backs.

New Mexico has been stable at D+6 for many presidential elections so far.

So of course it would require Republicans to win the national vote by around 6 to have hopes there, there is some polling that gives them hope but no assurances.

NM was more like even PVI for a long time. It's voted for the popular vote winner every election except for 1976.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

NM isn't going R ab R internal had Ds leading by 1