Unfortunately, Golden's response to the Lewiston mass shooting will likely put him in more danger than ever before. Add in a sexy NASCAR driver and he's in big trouble. But I wouldn't write him off yet.
I think the opposite actually, because the tragedy hit home for a lot of people gun control is actually more popular than it used to be in the district.
The gun control stuff hurts him, but it looks like those comments were just a one off so one will care about them in November. If Golden made it a signature issue of his campaign then he would lose, but he's smart enough to avoid doing that. Anyway, I think this is Lean D, Golden is favored but its still worth watching depending on who the GOP nominates and Trump's margin in the district.