India 2024 LS and assembly elections

[Logical]

India Today

NDA 258
INDIA 182
OTH 19

[eos]

The good news for INDIA is that under these numbers NDA is on track for 320-340 seats. The bad news is that counting trends usually gets better for the winning party.

Well NDA better hope that the second trend comes true again, not looking very good right now. Of course, 10 years ago they would have started the celebrations already, but they set the bar so high and promised to do it so again that it’s a narrative defeat right now.

[Logical]

Uttar Pradesh

NDA 40
INDIA 32
BSP 2

No one predicted this. Very shocking indeed. Rahul must kiss SP's feet.

[eos]

With these trends if the BJP is more dependent on the south it seems delimitation will be delayed again.

I am not sure, I think they will want to do it while they are in power and there’s no guarantee they will be back in 2029.

[eos]

Uttar Pradesh

NDA 40
INDIA 32
BSP 2

No one predicted this. Very shocking indeed.

Unbelievable, I am still wondering if it’s postal ballot. Doesn’t seem so. Wow.

[OSR stands with Israel]

The good news for INDIA is that under these numbers NDA is on track for 320-340 seats. The bad news is that counting trends usually gets better for the winning party.

Well NDA better hope that the second trend comes true again, not looking very good right now. Of course, 10 years ago they would have started the celebrations already, but they set the bar so high and promised to do it so again that it’s a narrative defeat right now.

So does it look like 2014 in overall numbers so far

[S019]

Uttar Pradesh

NDA 40
INDIA 32
BSP 2

No one predicted this. Very shocking indeed. Rahul must kiss SP's feet.

INDIA is also ahead in multiple seats in Gujarat, which I don't think anyone expected.

[eos]

The good news for INDIA is that under these numbers NDA is on track for 320-340 seats. The bad news is that counting trends usually gets better for the winning party.

Well NDA better hope that the second trend comes true again, not looking very good right now. Of course, 10 years ago they would have started the celebrations already, but they set the bar so high and promised to do it so again that it’s a narrative defeat right now.

So does it look like 2014 in overall numbers so far

Running well below, but it was so long ago I don’t remember what the numbers were at this time and whether NDA ran up the score at the end. At this moment, they will be very happy to reach 2014 numbers!

They are saying on India Today that INC is behaving like a student that failed last time but is celebrating because they have passed next exam and exceeding expectations. But it will be largely be seen as narrative defeat for BJP and weaken Modi.

[randomusername]

Still a very long ways to go but I'm shocked so far. UP and even Gujarat have been surprising me

[Logical]

The good news for INDIA is that under these numbers NDA is on track for 320-340 seats. The bad news is that counting trends usually gets better for the winning party.

Well NDA better hope that the second trend comes true again, not looking very good right now. Of course, 10 years ago they would have started the celebrations already, but they set the bar so high and promised to do it so again that it’s a narrative defeat right now.

It would be a personal defeat for Modi. Complicates his succession plans.

[Ancestral Republican]

Modi becomes further entrenched in what may be the closest thing the world has to a major fascist power, or at least right authoritarianism drifting more right and more authoritarian by the year.

[Logical]

India Today

NDA 273
INDIA 218
OTH 21

INDIA with 30+ seats in UP.
BJP crushing BJD in Odisha.
WB continues to be neck and neck between AITC and BJP.
INDIA narrowly leading in Maharashtra.
NDA starting to build some decent leads in Karnataka.
BJP ahead in 4 seats in the deep south.

[eos]

Uttar Pradesh

NDA 40
INDIA 32
BSP 2

No one predicted this. Very shocking indeed. Rahul must kiss SP's feet.

INDIA is also ahead in multiple seats in Gujarat, which I don't think anyone expected.

Absolutely, if you put a gun to my head and asked for predictions I would have said they would sweep the state 26-0. It’s very weird that MP and Chattisgarh are bucking the trends of INC revival in Hindi heartland. Because of the UP numbers right now, I suspect OBC is coming out in large numbers for INDIA. Wherever there are Muslims and OBC it’s coming together for INDIA.

[Logical]

I said before that I believed that there was herding in the exit polls. I was right. Exit pollsters are eating the humble pie now.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

I am proud to be from UP if this turns out to be the case.

[randomusername]

What are the odds Nitish Kumar is already plotting a return to the Mahagathbandhan

[S019]

INDIA currently leading in Varanasi, I will caveat that it is very early, but if that held out it would be one of the biggest Portillo moments ever.

[lfromnj]

So jaichind was right .

[OSR stands with Israel]

So jaichind was right .

Seems like it

[eos]

India Today

NDA 273
INDIA 218
OTH 21

INDIA with 30+ seats in UP.
BJP crushing BJD in Odisha.
WB continues to be neck and neck between AITC and BJP.
INDIA narrowly leading in Maharashtra.
NDA starting to build some decent leads in Karnataka.
BJP ahead in 4 seats in the deep south.

Considering Andhra TDP+ seats are being included in NDA this time it’s not looking pretty.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Makes sense UP has swung against, for all diaspora Indians and international commentators talk about how the BJP represents growth and modernity in UP the party has pursued it's ultra religious sectarian agenda almost completely unchecked with very little of this growth helping people.

The Yogi Adityanath government has been almost totally incompetent at implementing any sort of investment in infrastructure or welfare.

[OSR stands with Israel]

TimesNow has NDA over 300 again

[randomusername]

News24 has INDIA crossing 280 right now... seems a bit far fetched... but there is chaos right now

[Logical]

Official ECI results in Varanasi. Modi is currently behind now, one to watch for sure.
https://results.eci.gov.in/PcResultGenJune2024/candidateswise-S2477.htm

[Frodo]

Early days, but from the indications we have been seeing thus far, those worried about the survival of Indian democracy in the Modi era can rest assured that it is self-correcting.