Biden in NH 2020: just 5th with only 8 percent.

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

Is it of any importance to the upcoming primary in NH that Biden only ended up 5th with 8 percent?

Around Christmas 2019, Biden polled 20-25 percent, but got less than 10 percent on primary day.

[emailking]

I think it means it's not inconceivable Trump loses NH. In 2008 they shifted relative to polling at the last minute too. Even if that happens I think it would probably be a minor blemish in Trump winning the nomination decisively.

[Sir Mohamed]

Is it of any importance to the upcoming primary in NH that Biden only ended up 5th with 8 percent?

Around Christmas 2019, Biden polled 20-25 percent, but got less than 10 percent on primary day.

I think Biden's weak performance in NH was also a result of losing momentum after his embarrassing 4th place finish in IA. Both of these states were diffucult for him. The 2024 GOP field isn't comparable to the Dem primary 4 years ago.

[sting in the rafters]

Biden's primary strength was the Black vote, a demographic obviously underrepresented in the NH Dem primary compared to the national primary electorate. Similarly Trump may have trouble in NH compared to other primaries because they're more educated but should perform better down South without Cruz splitting the evangelical vote.

[President Johnson]

Biden's primary strength was the Black vote, a demographic obviously underrepresented in the NH Dem primary compared to the national primary electorate. Similarly Trump may have trouble in NH compared to other primaries because they're more educated but should perform better down South without Cruz splitting the evangelical vote.

It's definitely interesting though how Trump's coalition from 2016 changed though. I remember New Hampshire was always considered the safest of the early primary states for him. He had more appeal to independents and ideologically moderate voters back then.