Are the Democrats in trouble in 2032?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 07:52:34 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  Are the Democrats in trouble in 2032?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Are the Democrats in trouble in 2032?  (Read 1239 times)
°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,183
Uruguay


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: December 21, 2023, 06:58:58 AM »

https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2023/Pres/Maps/Dec21.html#item-7
Logged
Samof94
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,346
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 02, 2024, 06:25:59 PM »

Depends on the trends of several of the states.
Logged
MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,217
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -0.65, S: -1.57

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 03, 2024, 12:06:56 AM »

Atlas is dooming about 2032 now?
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,280
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 04, 2024, 09:40:31 PM »

Not as doomed as they are in 2180, though the blue tsunami of 2188 will make 2180 look like a red ripple.
Logged
TDAS04
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,527
Bhutan


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 08, 2024, 12:00:33 PM »

I have no absolutely clue whether or not Democrats are in trouble in 2028, let alone 2032.
Logged
Duke of York
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,961


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 08, 2024, 01:53:01 PM »

what's the point of speculating this far out?
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,650
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 11, 2024, 01:11:51 PM »
« Edited: January 11, 2024, 06:24:44 PM by Skill and Chance »

In a certain way, this feels a bit too much like the Emerging Democratic Majority stuff from the 2000's.  However, I do think it's worth analyzing:

Normally, what happens is that the party on the wrong end of a demographic shift eventually adapts its platform to appeal to different voters and things revert back to nearly 50/50 in the long run.  Republicans essentially pulled that off in 2016 by shifting their economic platform to reach more of the Northern working class.  My main takeaway would be that the current Dem platform is just too socially liberal for a world in which the South gains that much influence and I would expect them to adjust accordingly. 

Maybe they also get Florida back if social security cuts become issue #1 in 2030's elections?  Or maybe they abandon Florida to take the "youth" side of that debate?       
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,987
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: January 13, 2024, 12:33:39 AM »

If Georgia is voting like Virginia and Texas 2030 is voting like Georgia in 2020, any GOP edge will be pretty much zero.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.032 seconds with 11 queries.