As the title says, do you think Biden is more likely to win NC or GA next year? If he loses either, does he still have a reasonable path to winning? If Trump loses both, can he win? What do you think?
Definitely GA. NC is to Democrats what NV is to Republicans - outside of gubernatorial elections, titanium tilt for the other party. Otoh GA actually voted Democratic in 2020 + in the federal election in 2022 and it is undergoing significant demographic shift and urban growth.
My hot take is that Biden is more likely to win GA in 2024 than he is to win any of the other states that were within 3 points in 2020.
I'd say that depends on who the GOP nominates, tbh.