Marcy Kaptur would do even better than Sherrod. Gender is not relevant.
It's not gender alone, but Kaptur isn't exactly Warren in terms of policy. It's much harder to win as an outspoken progressive woman everywhere - including Massachusetts - than as an outspoken progressive man, and that can be a difference maker in a state as close as Ohio has always been.
Tammy Baldwin says hello
Tbf Tammy Baldwin has only been up in blue leaning years, when Obama won the state by a likely margin in 2012 and then again in the 2018 wave year when Rs didn't make a serious attempt to beat her. She's favored to win in 2024, but the amount she overperforms Biden by will tell us a lot about her crossover appeal and I think its fair to say it will be less than Brown's.