2008 w/o the GFC and economic crisis

[BigVic]

How would 2008 go if there was no Great Recession

[Skill and Chance]

Basically, a reverse 2004.  Obama wins by about 2% in the PV and the EC looks like this:



However, it's highly likely the housing bubble would still burst before the end of 2012 and make him a one-termer. 

[Agonized-Statism]

Obama still wins big on youth, minority, and only somewhat less white working class turnout against the Iraq War, a lackluster economy (GDP growth, job creation, investment, and wage and salary growth were all substantially weaker than the equivalent years of the 1990s and that was widely acknowledged at the time, one reason why 2004 was so close), and a weak Republican candidate.


Senator John McCain (R-AZ) / Governor Sarah Palin (R-AK)
Senator Barack Obama (D-IL) / Senator Joe Biden (D-DE) ✓

[TheElectoralBoobyPrize]

It's hard to believe that the GFC made much difference given Bush's approval ratings were bad even before it happened, but I guess Obama gets his 2012 map.

[dw93]

It's hard to believe that the GFC made much difference given Bush's approval ratings were bad even before it happened, but I guess Obama gets his 2012 map.

This. Give or take Florida.

[BigVic]

2012 + NE-02