Elections without the 22nd Amendment
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Elections without the 22nd Amendment
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BigVic
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« on: December 15, 2023, 08:18:15 AM »

How would elections fare post-1944 had the 22nd amendment that constitutes a 2-term, renewable once term limit on Presidents didn't pass? 
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Agonized-Statism
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« Reply #1 on: December 16, 2023, 02:14:48 PM »

As cool as the Watchmen scenario is to imagine, the two-term tradition made it a de facto rule. Roosevelt himself only ran because he saw 1940 and '44 as exceptional circumstances with World War II.
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Lord Admirale
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« Reply #2 on: December 16, 2023, 06:38:48 PM »

Well, Eisenhower and Reagan would consider it, but both of them were having their own health issues and would probably decide against it. Eisenhower had heart issues that nearly killed him in his first term, while Reagan was starting to show mild signs of dementia.

The first major impact would come in 2000, because I think Bill Clinton would almost certainly run for a third term given his popularity in 1999-2000. He likely faces Dubya, meaning he'll face two Bushes in three of his elections, and most likely wins, albeit by less than '92 and '96. Unlikely he runs for a fourth term, even if 9/11 happens, it wouldn't really be enough to justify a fourth term because FDR's fourth term was to "finish the job" and it was implied he'd resign when the war was over.
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BigVic
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« Reply #3 on: December 16, 2023, 08:28:15 PM »

Obama would've tried to do an FDR in 2016 too
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