Which seat can Senate Republicans win a majority without

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

I would currently say Ohio.

[SnowLabrador]

I would also say Ohio, just because it's not as red as Montana. That being said, Sherrod Brown's approval ratings are more worrisome than Tester's right now, so the delta between Montana flipping and Ohio flipping might not be that big.

[Zedonathin2020]

Ohio, but I accidentally voted Montana due to me misreading the question

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Ohio, but I accidentally voted Montana due to me misreading the question

I toggled the poll such that you can change your vote.

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

I presently have Ohio as more likely to go GOP than Montana but that can change.

Brown seems less popular
 

[S019]

I’ll vote TX, I really don’t buy that if the polls are as bad as they are and TX swings right, it won’t show up in the rest of the country. The idea that OH is close while Republicans win the PV and TX votes R by 8-10 just makes no sense.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Montana . My ranking for seats goes like this

48: WV
49: FL
50: TX
51: OH
52: MT


So the answer is MT

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Tester's flat top and missing fingers have more populist appeal than Brown's wild hair and raspy voice. Montana is the answer, and I think Tester still has a decent shot at winning it.

[Schiff for Senate]

Tester's flat top and missing fingers have more populist appeal than Brown's wild hair and raspy voice. Montana is the answer, and I think Tester still has a decent shot at winning it.

If only elections were quite that simple. Then again, if they were, a seat as blue as NJ-08 would've elected a Republican in 2022.

[Sir Mohamed]

OH, though there's a possibility it flips while MT doesn't. At least Tester has a much higher approval than Brown.

[Schiff for Senate]

OH, though there's a possibility it flips while MT doesn't. At least Tester has a much higher approval than Brown.

Agreed.

[Xing]

I could see any of MT/OH/TX being a seat that Republicans narrowly lose while winning the Senate. If they lose FL, it’s an absolute rout for the Democrats.

[Lambsbread]

They can win a majority if they only flip WV + Trump wins, so theoretically none of these.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

I’ll vote TX, I really don’t buy that if the polls are as bad as they are and TX swings right, it won’t show up in the rest of the country. The idea that OH is close while Republicans win the PV and TX votes R by 8-10 just makes no sense.

Dude, the scandal plagued AG just won re-election by 9 points in TX. Please wake up, it's not viable in 2024. And yes, Sherrod Brown is far more likely to win re-election than Ted Cruz is to lose in a state that is very religious and less white than the nation, likely to swing R in 2024