Why is it acceptable to say CO will swing hard right in 2024 but

[jamestroll]

There is a hell of a lot more push back when someone says VA may be closer than 2020 in 2024?

There is actually credible evidence to the VA theory, but almost none for the CO theory.

Like seriously.. people seem to lose their minds at even the hint that VA may vote for a Republican under ideal circumstances.

[Xing]

I think predicting Colorado will swing hard right is about as good of a prediction as thinking Iowa will swing hard left.

[cherry mandarin]

I think predicting Colorado will swing hard right is about as good of a prediction as thinking Iowa will swing hard left.

If the NPV swings "hard right" or "hard left", then it isn't unconceivable to think either of those states might shift in the same direction individually. That premise, though, is unlikely at best.

[Anti-Trump Truth Socialite JD Vance Enjoying Juror]

It isn't?

This thread is based on clearly false premises.

I could probably make a thread titled "Why do Americans think that it is acceptable to wear the skulls of children as fashion accessories?" and it wouldn't seem out of place on this forum.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Of all the ridiculous takes about 2024, this is at the top. Even if the argument is that Democrats are maxed out in Colorado (no indication of that) or third party votes, Biden is still going to win solidly.

I really don't know where this idea is coming from.

[cherry mandarin]

Of all the ridiculous takes about 2024, this is at the top. Biden is still going to win solidly. I really don't know where this idea is coming from.

No one here in this thread has argued, suggested, or implied that he might not, though?

[jamestroll]

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=579208.0

There are a few people in that thread who think that Haley could win Colorado.

Haley will struggle to win Virginia in a 2008 version for the GOP. Let alone winning Colorado.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

A clear example of where the take or opinion of one person is genrralized to a general premise/take adopted by the majority. No, barely anyone believes Colorado will flip or swing hard right, period.

[TDAS04]

Colorado is a swingy state that can swing a lot either way. If the country somehow swings hard right (which I doubt), then Colorado could very well experience a similar—or possibly even greater—swing in the same direction. That doesn’t mean Republicans have any meaningful chance of carrying Colorado this year, and Colorado continues its long term, leftward trend (relative to the nation).

[South Dakota Democrat]

Is this actually occurring?

[jamestroll]

My point is that there is a lot more push back when someone says VA could be close, but barely any with Colorado.

[coloradocowboi]

I have not seen this discourse yet but it is rly dumb if it’s happening. Colorado will probably not even trend right, let alone swing. Believe it or not, Dems haven’t even come close to maxing their gains here