In terms of partisan affiliation among the American public, rather than the other way around?
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  In terms of partisan affiliation among the American public, rather than the other way around?
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Author Topic: In terms of partisan affiliation among the American public, rather than the other way around?  (Read 252 times)
cherry mandarin
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« on: December 02, 2023, 05:35:12 PM »

Within the broader electorate overall, we are seeing a generational shift and re-alignment of partisan identification by age. Younger voters are trending toward the GOP at the speed of light, while older voters are slowly growing more liberal-leaning.

However, if you look at the major Democratic presidential candidates of recent cycles (Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Michael Bloomberg, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.) compared to the Republican fields (Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy) as well as other major figures within their respective parties (Harry Reid, Chuck Schumer, Nancy Pelosi rather than Kevin McCarthy, Mike Johnson) you can see that this reality has been manifesting itself at the highest echelons of American governance over the past decade or two. In other words, Democratic legislators in Congress have historically been younger and had far less experience in public service than their Republican counterparts, but this is no longer the case.

All in all, why does age (with respect to predicting partisanship) appear to be a leading indicator for elected officials relative to voters, rather than a lagging one?
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #1 on: December 02, 2023, 05:43:41 PM »

Can we wait till actual election results bear this out before trying to make these claims . It is actually fair to discuss why Hispanics/Asians have trended right while Whites have trended left since over the past decade because that’s actually happened in elections
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #2 on: December 02, 2023, 08:13:00 PM »

I think younger voters tend to be more radicalized. As the Democratic Party continues to be seen as more "mainstream" political party, I think it gives Rs more of a pathway with younger voters.

I also think we're seeing a huge educational divide with younger voters. Many college campuses are as D-leaning as ever, while non-college younger voters seem to have shifted right. Just looking at college campus results is not a good proxy for how young people as a whole actually vote.
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