Assume that we've been in the seventh system since 2016 and at this point several decades into the future (probably around the 2040's/2050's) transitioned into the eighth system and a Democrat wins with this map. What do you think happened that got them to this point?
Closest states:
New Hampshire: .2%Kansas: .7%Closer states:
Arizona: 1.4%Pennsylvania: 1.5%South Carolina: 1.5%Utah: 1.7%Oregon: 1.9%Florida: 2.3%Minnesota: 2.6%New Mexico: 2.9% (Tipping point: GOP victory)
Texas: 3.0%Alaska: 3.3%Michigan: 3.3%North Carolina: 3.3%Nevada: 4.7%Close states:
Delaware: 5.5%Ohio: 6.0%Washington: 6.3%Wisconsin: 6.3%Maine 1st Congressional District: 6.5%Maine (At. lg): 6.6%Georgia; 6.8%Utah: 7.0%Louisiana: 7.0%Nebraska (At. lg): 7.5%Tennessee: 7.6%Nebraska 1st Congressional District: 7.9%Alabama: 8.0%Mississippi: 8.4%Missouri: 8.4%Rhode Island: 9.3%P.V Approx.: 50/47 D/R
Closest States:
North Carolina: 0.09% (Tipping point: Dem victory)
Texas: 0.6%Closer States:
Oregon: 1.2%Minnesota: 1.7%Maine's 1st Congressional District: 1.8%New Mexico: 1.9%Pennsylvania: 2.1%South Carolina: 2.5%Delaware: 3.4%Florida: 3.9%Georgia: 4.0%Arizona: 4.1%Washignton: 4.5%New Hampshire: 4.9%Close States:
Alaska: 5.9%Rhode Island: 6.3%Michigan: 6.7%Kansas: 6.7%Vermont: 7.1%Nevada: 7.6% Utah: 8.7%Colorado: 9.0%Edit 11/18: Added a GOP victory map for added context and changed some of the margins/states in the original map but the demographics remain similar.
