freepcrusher
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Posts: 3,828
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« on: November 11, 2023, 09:03:56 PM » |
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« edited: November 11, 2023, 09:08:09 PM by freepcrusher »
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what the white vote actually is on DRA?
1) Any precinct over say 55% white until you reach 60% of the population
Advantage: least biased way
Disadvantage: tends to not sample the republican areas in parts of California, Texas etc
2) Any precinct over 65% white and any precinct that if below 65%, has Trump getting over 60% (i'm guessing this is 60% of the population)
Advantage: best of both worlds statistically speaking
Disadvantage: Still misses the voteless hispanic majority areas
3) Any precinct where Biden got below 54% (which probably is about 60% of the population)
Advantage: really factors out the voteless hispanic majority areas when looking at nonwhite areas
Disadvantage: you're going to count parts of the bay area, manhattan etc as "nonwhite"
Either option works very well east of about the 95th meridian. West of that meridian, you have to use option 3 to get a real divide. As I mentioned, California has the most bizarre divide where you have areas where whites above 75% that are strongly dem voting in Hollywood and the bay area (even certain parts of san diego) and then areas like Tulare County
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