If Andy Beshear was the DEM Nominee for President, would he carry his home state?
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  If Andy Beshear was the DEM Nominee for President, would he carry his home state?		 « previous next »
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Question: If at some point in the future Andy Beshear was the Democratic nominee for President (perhaps in 2028), would he carry his home state of Kentucky and their electoral votes?
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 79

Author Topic: If Andy Beshear was the DEM Nominee for President, would he carry his home state?  (Read 631 times)
Fwillb21
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« on: November 07, 2023, 09:48:23 PM »
« edited: November 07, 2023, 09:52:43 PM by Fwillb21 »
Let me know your thoughts as well Smiley
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2023, 09:49:55 PM »
Highly unlikely, unless he's running against Daniel Cameron or Matt Bevin (lmao)
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NYDem
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2023, 09:54:48 PM »
He would overperform, but he would have no chance at outright winning lol.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2023, 09:56:28 PM »
No. He might be the perfect fit for North Carolina though.
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Vosem
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2023, 09:57:11 PM »
No, but he would be a very strong national candidate.
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2023, 09:58:28 PM »
As late as 2008, he'd be favored to win KY. Just not anymore with polarization imo
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Zedonathin2020
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2023, 10:08:33 PM »
He would do better than most Democrats, but would still lose
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Pres Mike
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2023, 11:12:38 PM »
He would over perform 5-10 points. But Trump won it by 26% points lol
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patzer
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2023, 11:17:57 PM »
Quote from: One Term Floridian on November 07, 2023, 09:49:55 PM
Highly unlikely, unless he's running against Daniel Cameron or Matt Bevin (lmao)

Even Matt Bevin would likely carry KY in that scenario thanks to polarization of national politics
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #9 on: November 08, 2023, 12:18:06 AM »
Much as I'd love to see it... nah lol.

He would win states like North Carolina though I think.
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Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #10 on: November 08, 2023, 02:05:34 AM »
If Romney runs for President will be win Massachusetts?
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2023, 02:16:51 AM »
No, but we haven’t had a rural state nominee in quite a while.  I think something like 56/42 in an otherwise close election nationally isn’t crazy.
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Badger
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« Reply #12 on: November 08, 2023, 03:09:10 AM »
Hell no
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EastwoodS
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« Reply #13 on: November 08, 2023, 05:18:04 AM »
Definitely not. 58-41 GOP if that was the case
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ugabug
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« Reply #14 on: November 08, 2023, 06:48:54 AM »
Not against Trump. Though I'm kinda curious what the results would look like if he were to go up against someone like Romney who the MAGA base hates.
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KYRockefeller
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« Reply #15 on: November 08, 2023, 12:37:25 PM »
I actually think it would depend.  To run nationally Beshear would have to go more left of center and that would alienate a lot of GOP voters that crossed over for him.  So that would mean he lost the state.  If he could somehow maintain a moderate position, though, and not get dragged far to the left on immigration, gun control, and crime then he might have a fighting chance.

It would also depend on who he was facing.  Against someone like Trump he'd have no chance.  But if the GOP nominated someone that had a tough time appealing to rural voters or someone that was just generally weak, then maybe.

Most likely a Beshear candidacy would drive the KY margin down while also faring really well in more purple Southern states like Georgia and North Carolina.  He'd also do really well in Virginia.
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Pres Mike
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« Reply #16 on: November 08, 2023, 01:07:15 PM »
Quote from: Shaula🏳️‍⚧️ on November 08, 2023, 02:05:34 AM
If Romney runs for President will be win Massachusetts?
Romney ran way to the right as a presidential nominee than as Governor of MA. Don't get me wrong, there is no scenario where Obama doesn't win by 20 points. But Governor Romney was closer to a generic Democrat than nominee Romney

If Beshear ran for president, his presidential campaign would be much closer to his governor campaign when compared to Romney

Yeah, Beshear still loses a lot. But maybe by 10 points instead of 26?
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BigZuck08
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« Reply #17 on: November 08, 2023, 01:08:24 PM »
No, but he would overperform Biden and other Dems due to home state advantage. Polarization would kick in.
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