Official 2023 General Election Results Thread

[wbrocks67]

So the guy who estimates Philly turnout is seeing nearly 195,000 as of right now (~119,000 so far in person and 75,000 VBM received as of this morning), which would put it:

2015 turnout: 239,000
2019 turnout: 292,000
2021 turnout: 215,000
2023 turnout (so far): 194,000

If this is anywhere close to true.... Philly turnout is actually looking amazing. It's almost hard to believe, because given there's likely another 10-15k mail to be counted at least, and in-person for another 7.5 hours, that would predict closer to 2019 turnout than 2021. 2019 was the last time the mayoral race was up, so that could be providing a huge boon to Ds this year, which would give them a ridiculously great extra padding for McCaffery.

https://sixtysixwards.com/turnout-tracker/

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/admcrlsn/status/1721711657833967995?t=XZ4e36BVAD71Rmlb8wYGzw...

In Virginia this is because for the first time,  counties have to match Early voters to precincts of residence. This is good, but it's a whole new thing, so it's going to mean delivering the early vote will be slow.

[wbrocks67]

I feel like VA has been a red mirage since at least 2016, so nothing really new there.

PA will likely be a blue mirage. Most counties have gotten very good with counting ballots faster, Allegheny and Philly were able to dump most of their VBM pretty early on last year, and then most other counties that I can remember generally posted VBM results before in-person. Fetterman jumped out to like an 84-15 lead in the beginning and then it only started receding once the election day returns slowly came in. I expect that to happen again this year.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

I feel like VA has been a red mirage since at least 2016, so nothing really new there.

PA will likely be a blue mirage. Most counties have gotten very good with counting ballots faster, Allegheny and Philly were able to dump most of their VBM pretty early on last year, and then most other counties that I can remember generally posted VBM results before in-person. Fetterman jumped out to like an 84-15 lead in the beginning and then it only started receding once the election day returns slowly came in. I expect that to happen again this year.

There will be a red mirage in PA near the end. Oz closed the gap to 48.3 to 49.2 at over 80% reported when the race was called, before Fetterman's lead grew to 5 points.

[Landslide Lyndon]

I feel like VA has been a red mirage since at least 2016, so nothing really new there.

More like 2008. McCain was still ahead a few minutes before the election was called for Obama.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

Ohio will start with a large blue mirage was early/mail-ins are counted first, but towards the end there will be a slight red mirage as the last votes are from Cuyahoga and Lucas.

[Gass3268]

Poquoson looking solid for Republicans, Blacksburg not bad for Dems either.

https://twitter.com/chaznuttycombe/status/1721946515390734626?s=46

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

I think Presley could win today and become the new John Bel Edwards.

[Nyvin]

This actually isn't as bad as it seems like since a lot of Black voters would actually be against abortion rights even though they normally vote Democrat.

https://twitter.com/BruneElections/status/1721928458752643555

[Germany1994]

Can you guys recommend a good site with results map?? I´m mostly interested in Ohio.

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

Can you guys recommend a good site with results map?? I´m mostly interested in Ohio.

I am a NYT subscriber.

It has a paywall, but the best results pages.

I can "gift" articles to anyone, so if they are up, I can post them here. You can then see the full results without a paywall.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

I'll be checking in from time to time but I'm watching the Sabres game tonight.

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

I can just recommend the New York Times subscription.

It is just 2€ per month, and you have access to all articles, sports results, election results, maps.

[roxas11]

This actually isn't as bad as it seems like since a lot of Black voters would actually be against abortion rights even though they normally vote Democrat.

https://twitter.com/BruneElections/status/1721928458752643555

Where is the evidence of this?

I have definitely not see any data showing large numbers of black voters voters voting against abortion rights referendums or amendments ever since roe v wade was overturned

[Oryxslayer]

Can you guys recommend a good site with results map?? I´m mostly interested in Ohio.

NYt is always good, but if its paywalled for you, then thats out.

Desicison Desk HQ will have a good page up eventually. But they are their own vender (mainly for local stations and papers) so sometimes they are faster, sometimes slower.

Here's NBC

Here's CNN

Here's the Washington Post


If you care about VA, then there is really only VPAP

[Germany1994]

Can you guys recommend a good site with results map?? I´m mostly interested in Ohio.

NYt is always good, but if its paywalled for you, then thats out.

Desicison Desk HQ will have a good page up eventually. But they are their own vender (mainly for local stations and papers) so sometimes they are faster, sometimes slower.

Here's NBC

Here's CNN

Here's the Washington Post


If you care about VA, then there is really only VPAP

Thanks, I think I´m gonna go for NBC.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

I'll be checking in from time to time but I'm watching the Sabres game tonight.

Let’s go Buffalo!

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

I'll be checking in from time to time but I'm watching the Sabres game tonight.

Let’s go Buffalo!

It's weird because I've only been to Buffalo like 2 or 3 times

I blame my dad (from Bradford PA so Buffalo was the closest team) and RJ.

[2016]

So, only Ohio Ballot Measures will apparently have Exit Polling.

Conclusion = Edison Research are the biggest FRAUDS ever!

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

Can you guys recommend a good site with results map?? I´m mostly interested in Ohio.

I am a NYT subscriber.

It has a paywall, but the best results pages.

I can "gift" articles to anyone, so if they are up, I can post them here. You can then see the full results without a paywall.

Here they are (free for everyone):

Key races

All KY races

All MS races

The 2 Ohio referendums

All PA races

Rhode Island 1st Congressional District

VA state legislature

[Germany1994]

Can you guys recommend a good site with results map?? I´m mostly interested in Ohio.

I am a NYT subscriber.

It has a paywall, but the best results pages.

I can "gift" articles to anyone, so if they are up, I can post them here. You can then see the full results without a paywall.

Here they are (free for everyone):

Key races

All KY races

All MS races

The 2 Ohio referendums

All PA races

Rhode Island 1st Congressional District

VA state legislature

Thank you soo much.

Can you also link in the Exit Polls when they´re available?? 

[Holmes]

So, only Ohio Ballot Measures will apparently have Exit Polling.

Conclusion = Edison Research are the biggest FRAUDS ever!

Could just be that no media outlets cared to have and pay for any other exit polling conducted.

[jvmh2009]

When will the exit poll be released?

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

Can you guys recommend a good site with results map?? I´m mostly interested in Ohio.

I am a NYT subscriber.

It has a paywall, but the best results pages.

I can "gift" articles to anyone, so if they are up, I can post them here. You can then see the full results without a paywall.

Here they are (free for everyone):

Key races

All KY races

All MS races

The 2 Ohio referendums

All PA races

Rhode Island 1st Congressional District

VA state legislature

Thank you soo much.

Can you also link in the Exit Polls when they´re available?? 

I think they don't get posted on NYT, but on CNN?

[Oryxslayer]

When will the exit poll be released?

Illegal before 7:30 pm est poll closing. But the electorate compositions, demographic indicators, and opinions on questions not related to the current election sometimes come out around 5pm est to give news channels something to discuss.