Predict Ohio abortion and marihuana and Pennsylvania Supreme court elections
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  Predict Ohio abortion and marihuana and Pennsylvania Supreme court elections
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Author Topic: Predict Ohio abortion and marihuana and Pennsylvania Supreme court elections  (Read 608 times)
🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱
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« on: November 04, 2023, 06:27:55 AM »
« edited: November 04, 2023, 06:31:20 AM by 🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱 »

Ohio:

Abortion: 61% pro abortion rights, 39% against abortion rights
Marihuana: 58% pro marihuana like alcohol, 42% against marihuana like alcohol

Pennsylvania:

56% Cafferty (liberal)
44% Carluccico (conservative)
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Yoda
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2023, 02:10:33 AM »

I agree with your Ohio predictions (I might go 2-3 points lower on Issue 1 but whatever) but I honestly have no clue how the PA Supreme Court race will go.
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jvmh2009
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2023, 05:39:45 AM »

Abortion 54-46
Marijuana 56-44

McCaffery- 51-49
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2023, 06:19:50 AM »

Abortion: 55-45 yes
Marijuana: No idea, but the “vote no” ads were so bad that the main one literally single-handedly flipped me from a solid no vote to a leaning yes vote on the measure to legalize marijuana.  

McCaffery: 56-44
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progressive85
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2023, 06:31:49 AM »

Abortion: 53 yes, 47 no
Marijuana: 54 yes, 46 no
PA Supreme Court: McCaffery 51%
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MRS DONNA SHALALA
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2023, 06:34:03 AM »

Marijuana: No idea, but the “vote no” ads were so bad that the main one literally single-handedly flipped me from a solid no vote to a leaning yes vote on the measure to legalize marijuana.  

Please tell me you have a link handy.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2023, 06:37:16 AM »

Marijuana: No idea, but the “vote no” ads were so bad that the main one literally single-handedly flipped me from a solid no vote to a leaning yes vote on the measure to legalize marijuana.  

Please tell me you have a link handy.

Sadly, I do not Sad
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NYSforKennedy2024
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2023, 07:25:08 AM »
« Edited: November 07, 2023, 08:32:46 AM by BidenStan »

OH: Pro-Choice and Pro-Marijuana both win.

PA: McCaffery wins.
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Continential
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2023, 08:11:49 AM »

Ohio

Abortion Yes 54-46
Weed 56-44

Pennsylvania

McCafferty 52%
Carluccico 48%

My county (Allegheny) has local elections tonight and it’ll be interesting to see how they’ll go even though the Dems are likely to win since my Dem DA lost in the primary and is running under the Republican ballot line and the County Executive election is between a moderate Republican and the Democrats are running a DSA Dem who wants to reassess property values which will surely go well with suburbanites in the North/South Hills whose houses have doubled in value in the past decade.

Chief Executive
Innamorato 58%
Rockey 42%

DA
Dugan 56%
Zappala 44%

Others
Democrats 60ish%
Republicans mid to high 30s%

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2023, 08:54:56 AM »

Ohio
Abortion: YES +14, 56-42
Weed: YES, +18, 59-41

PA
McCaffery +6, 53-47

I'm starting to feel really good about McCaffery.
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MRS DONNA SHALALA
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« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2023, 01:38:53 PM »

Marijuana: No idea, but the “vote no” ads were so bad that the main one literally single-handedly flipped me from a solid no vote to a leaning yes vote on the measure to legalize marijuana.  

Please tell me you have a link handy.

lol i think i actually found it https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5hXFJeeApwU

Sadly, I do not Sad
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2023, 02:01:57 PM »

I said in a different thread that both will unfortunately pass.  I'd say abortion by 8 and marijuana by 13.

Also, describe a Yes on 1/No on 2 voter and a No on 1/Yes on 2 voter.
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jvmh2009
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« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2023, 02:08:16 PM »

I said in a different thread that both will unfortunately pass.  I'd say abortion by 8 and marijuana by 13.

Also, describe a Yes on 1/No on 2 voter and a No on 1/Yes on 2 voter.

Yes on 2 and no on 1 is 75% of my family. (Catholic)
My sister is a yes on 1 and no on 2 voter because it affects her.

I may be one of 2 people in my family that voted yes on both.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2023, 02:29:21 PM »
« Edited: November 07, 2023, 02:39:15 PM by Chancellor Tanterterg »

I said in a different thread that both will unfortunately pass.  I'd say abortion by 8 and marijuana by 13.

Also, describe a Yes on 1/No on 2 voter and a No on 1/Yes on 2 voter.

Yes on 1, No on 2: Pro-choice voters who know there are serious potential health risks associated with smoking marijuana, that it is addictive, and/or don’t trust stuff being pushed by sleazy companies like Phillip Morris.  I’m pretty sure my dad falls into this category along with plenty of other affluent, highly educated suburban liberals from his generation.  

No on 1, Yes on 2:  There will be plenty of these folks in rural Ohio, especially the Appalachian part (Zach Space and Ted Strickland’s old districts).  There won’t be nearly as many in rural western and rural northwestern Ohio.  Plenty of rural, extremely Trumpy white voters love their weed.  Here’s a great non-Appalachia example: in Morrow County, you have the Amish along with plenty of religious right Republicans.   They’ll be no on both issues.  However, plenty of diehard Republican, Trumpy as hell voters there see nothing wrong with smoking weed and would happily get high as a kite if it were legalized (assuming they aren’t already).  

I would be shocked if the Issue 1 and Issue 2 maps don’t have some pretty noteworthy county differences.

Marijuana: No idea, but the “vote no” ads were so bad that the main one literally single-handedly flipped me from a solid no vote to a leaning yes vote on the measure to legalize marijuana.  

Please tell me you have a link handy.

lol i think i actually found it https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5hXFJeeApwU

Sadly, I do not Sad

No, while that ad is idiotic and asinine, that’s actually much better than the one I am referring to lol
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