Predict Each States Next Senator
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Author Topic: Predict Each States Next Senator  (Read 382 times)
Zedonathin2020
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« on: November 01, 2023, 07:45:15 PM »

It’s about that time to make yet another one of these posts

Alabama – Dale Strong (2032)

Alaska – A Republican (2028)

Arizona – Ruben Gallego (2024)

Arkansas – Leslie Rutledge (2029, Cotton becomes Secretary of Defense)

California – Katie Porter (2024)

Colorado – Joe Neguse (2024)

Connecticut – William Tong or Jahana Hayes (2028)

Delaware – Lisa Blunt Rochester (2024)

Florida – Byron Donalds (2029, Rubio joins GOP cabinet)

Georgia – Nikema Williams (2030s)

Hawaii – Jill Tokuda (2030)

Idaho – Russ Fulcher (2026)

Illinois – Lauren Underwood (2026)

Iowa – Pat Grassley (2020s)

Kansas – Jake LaTurner (2034)

Kentucky – Daniel Cameron (2026)

Louisiana – Blake Miguez (2028)

Maine – Jared Golden (2026)

Maryland – Angela Alsobrooks (2024)

Massachusetts – Ayanna Pressley (2026)

Michigan – Elissa Slotkin (2024)

Minnesota – Jacob Frey (2036)

Mississippi – Michael Guest (2036)

Missouri (2029, Josh Hawley is elected President)

Montana – Matt Rosendale (2024)

Nebraska – Mike Flood (2030)

Nevada – Sam Brown (2028)

New Hampshire – Chris Pappas (2032)

New Jersey – Andy Kim (2024)

New Mexico A Democrat (2040s)

New York – Alexandria Ocasio–Cortez (2028)

North Carolina – Natalie Murdock (2032)

North Dakota – Kelly Armstrong (2034)

Ohio – Niraj Antani (2030)

Oklahoma – A Republican (2040s)

Oregon – Travis Nelson (2028)

Pennsylvania – Chris DeLuzio (2030)

Rhode Island – Seth Magaziner (2026)

South Carolina (2028)

South Dakota Dusty Johnson (2032)

Tennessee – Andy Ogles (2030)

Texas – A Democrat (2030)

Utah – Brad Wilson (2024)

Vermont – David Zuckerman (2024)

Virginia – Abigail Spanberger (2030)

Washington – Pramila Jayapal (2028)

West Virginia – Jim Justice (2024)

Wisconsin – Mike Gallagher (2034)

Wyoming – Bo Biteman (2036)
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2023, 08:06:26 PM »

Alabama: Wes Allen (2029)
Alaska: Mary Peltola (2028)
Arizona: Ruben Gallego (2024)
Arkansas: Leslie Rutledge (2028)
California: Adam Schiff (2024)
Colorado: Joe Neguse (2026)
Connecticut: Jahana Hayes (2028)
Delaware: Lisa Blunt Rochester (2024)
Florida: Byron Donalds (2030)
Georgia: Nikema Williams (whenever Warnock leaves)
Hawaii: Jill Tokuda (2030)
Idaho: Russ Fulcher (2026)
Illinois: Lauren Underwood (2026)
Indiana: Jim Banks (2024)
Iowa: Ashley Hinson (whenever Grassley dies)
Kansas: Jake LaTurner (2028)
Kentucky: Andy Barr (2026)
Louisiana: Julia Letlow (2026) if Cassidy retires; Clay Higgins (2026) if he runs for re-election
Maryland: Angela Alsobrooks (2024)
Massachusetts: Ayanna Pressley (2026)
Michigan: Elissa Slotkin (2024)
Minnesota: Huh
Mississippi: Michael Watson (2030)
Missouri: Huh
Montana: Matt Rosendale (2024)
Nebraska: Mike Flood (2030)
Nevada: Joe Lombardo (2028)
New Hampshire: Chris Pappas (2026)
New Jersey: Andy Kim (2024)
New Mexico: Huh
New York: Dan Goldman (2028)
North Carolina: Jeff Jackson (2032)
North Dakota: Kelly Armstrong (2028)
Ohio: Bernie Moreno (2024)
Oklahoma: Huh
Oregon: Tobias Read (2028)
Pennsylvania: Guy Reschenthaler (2028)
Rhode Island: Seth Magaziner (2026)
South Carolina: Nancy Mace (2026)
South Dakota: Dusty Johnson (2026)
Tennessee: Andy Ogles (2030)
Texas: Beth Van Duyne (2026)
Utah: Brad Wilson (2024)
Vermont: Becca Balint (2028)
Virginia: Jennifer McClellan (2026)
Washington: Kim Schrier (2028)
West Virginia: Jim Justice (2024)
Wisconsin: Mike Gallagher (2028)
Wyoming: Harriet Hageman (2030)
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MargieCat
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2023, 11:42:56 PM »

Last time we did one of these, I had Dean Phillips chosen as Minnesota's next senator.

However, I think it's probably Angie Craig now.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2023, 11:58:13 PM »

Last time we did one of these, I had Dean Phillips chosen as Minnesota's next senator.

However, I think it's probably Angie Craig now.

I don’t think a seat for Minnesota would open up any time soon. My bet would be on Phillips’ successor in the house. I think Smith retires in 2032 and Klobuchar outlasts her.

A few other changes since last time
-Utah is now an open seat, and New Jersey a de-facto one
-I now expect Rosendale to win the primary over Sheehy
-I no longer expect Daniel Cameron to get McConnell’s seat since he’s wasted all his political capital on the governor’s race.
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MargieCat
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2023, 12:07:58 AM »

Last time we did one of these, I had Dean Phillips chosen as Minnesota's next senator.

However, I think it's probably Angie Craig now.

I don’t think a seat for Minnesota would open up any time soon. My bet would be on Phillips’ successor in the house. I think Smith retires in 2032 and Klobuchar outlasts her.

A few other changes since last time
-Utah is now an open seat, and New Jersey a de-facto one
-I now expect Rosendale to win the primary over Sheehy
-I no longer expect Daniel Cameron to get McConnell’s seat since he’s wasted all his political capital on the governor’s race.
Yeah Phillips was going to be waiting for awhile.

I think it's very possible Secretary of State Steve Simon succeeds Phillips in the House, and ends up in the senate. I don't know if Ron Harris is a good fit for that district.
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Zedonathin2020
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2023, 08:57:22 AM »

Last time we did one of these, I had Dean Phillips chosen as Minnesota's next senator.

However, I think it's probably Angie Craig now.

I don’t think a seat for Minnesota would open up any time soon. My bet would be on Phillips’ successor in the house. I think Smith retires in 2032 and Klobuchar outlasts her.

A few other changes since last time
-Utah is now an open seat, and New Jersey a de-facto one
-I now expect Rosendale to win the primary over Sheehy
-I no longer expect Daniel Cameron to get McConnell’s seat since he’s wasted all his political capital on the governor’s race.


I still think Cameron becomes a Senator in the same sense as when Romney became a Senator, two people who everyone thought were done politically but then had a huge comeback out of nowhere some years later
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EastwoodS
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2023, 10:37:10 AM »

Last time we did one of these, I had Dean Phillips chosen as Minnesota's next senator.

However, I think it's probably Angie Craig now.

I don’t think a seat for Minnesota would open up any time soon. My bet would be on Phillips’ successor in the house. I think Smith retires in 2032 and Klobuchar outlasts her.

A few other changes since last time
-Utah is now an open seat, and New Jersey a de-facto one
-I now expect Rosendale to win the primary over Sheehy
-I no longer expect Daniel Cameron to get McConnell’s seat since he’s wasted all his political capital on the governor’s race.


I still think Cameron becomes a Senator in the same sense as when Romney became a Senator, two people who everyone thought were done politically but then had a huge comeback out of nowhere some years later
Cameron would do fine in a federal race in Kentucky. This governor race thing is just different and a “Kentucky” thing. Hard to explain
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