Georgia: Trump +2%, +9% (Zogby)

[Redban]

Link to the poll


Trump 51%
Biden 49%

Trump 45%
 Biden 36%
 RFK Jr. 15%
West 5%

[PSOL]

Georgia is falling dangerously to a tossup from tilt D.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Georgia is falling dangerously to a tossup from tilt D.

Lol it 2 pts

[GAinDC]

Georgia is falling dangerously to a tossup from tilt D.

This is honestly not a bad poll for Biden. It shows GA is pretty much in line with the other key swing states (tossup within margin of error)

Trump is not gonna win over many new voters in GA based on the way the state is trending and Trump’s trial in the state. But if Dems don’t turn out for Biden here, Trump could win it.

Also, no one serious ever thought GA was going to be an automatic layup for Biden after how close it was in 2020. If will be a hard fought race here.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Georgia is falling dangerously to a tossup from tilt D.

This is honestly not a bad poll for Biden. It shows GA is pretty much in line with the other key swing states (tossup within margin of error)

Trump is not gonna win over many new voters in GA based on the way the state is trending and Trump’s trial in the state. But if Dems don’t turn out for Biden here, Trump could win it.

Also, no one serious ever thought GA was going to be an automatic layup for Biden after how close it was in 2020. If will be a hard fought race here.

I still think Georgia will be likely D just because of how the state is trending and demographics. In 2022 Georgia had a Trump +7 electorate and Kemp won by the same amount.

[Redban]

ITT - people fail to see Trump +9% with all candidates

[Progressive Pessimist]

Georgia is falling dangerously to a tossup from tilt D.

This is honestly not a bad poll for Biden. It shows GA is pretty much in line with the other key swing states (tossup within margin of error)

Trump is not gonna win over many new voters in GA based on the way the state is trending and Trump’s trial in the state. But if Dems don’t turn out for Biden here, Trump could win it.

Also, no one serious ever thought GA was going to be an automatic layup for Biden after how close it was in 2020. If will be a hard fought race here.

All swing state races will be hard-fought. Again, this is why polling this early on isn't entirely worth much. Who knows how they could fluctuate when campaigning really ramps up?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

ITT - people fail to see Trump +9% with all candidates

It's a poll as I told you repeatedly it's not vote; consequently, the polls in 22 were off they PRED a red wave but Trump has a 40 percentage pts Approval. You don't see that, that's why your 39 Gallup polls are off. If Biden is at 39 why is he polling 45 percentage pts in h2h

You believe polls too much just wait til we vote, that's why the D map doesn't go to 303 it goes to 538


Ayotte is winning in NH and Biden is winning NH 52/40 and Tester is up by 4, it's not a red wave; consequently, those 40 K tax cuts the rich got is gonna be given back in form of 30 K Reparations to blks


10 percent of whites are impoverished,  1/3rd of blks are Impoverished

[pbrower2a]

Due to Metro Atlanta, the Ell-Ay of the Southeast except for lacking a saltwater beach, Georgia is drifting D. See also North Carolina, which is about the same.

[GAinDC]

Due to Metro Atlanta, the Ell-Ay of the Southeast except for lacking a saltwater beach, Georgia is drifting D. See also North Carolina, which is about the same.

Does Lake Lanier count? 😝

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

Probably more like Trump +4 if third parties finish at about 6% (the poll shows Trump +9% with third parties at 20%).

In any case I expect Trump to lose nationally if he only wins Georgia by 2.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

Georgia is falling dangerously to a tossup from tilt D.

This is honestly not a bad poll for Biden. It shows GA is pretty much in line with the other key swing states (tossup within margin of error)

Trump is not gonna win over many new voters in GA based on the way the state is trending and Trump’s trial in the state. But if Dems don’t turn out for Biden here, Trump could win it.

Also, no one serious ever thought GA was going to be an automatic layup for Biden after how close it was in 2020. If will be a hard fought race here.

I still think Georgia will be likely D just because of how the state is trending and demographics. In 2022 Georgia had a Trump +7 electorate and Kemp won by the same amount.

Georgia is not Likely D in a word where Trump improves in North Carolina, lol. Also Georgia voted to the right of NC in 2022 House (despite fielding candidates like MTG).

Also exit polls are likely off on the electorate, as it showed Warnock only winning slightly more Trump voters than Walker did Biden voters. The electorate was probably Even or Trump +1 looking at the actual cross tabs.

[GAinDC]

Georgia is falling dangerously to a tossup from tilt D.

This is honestly not a bad poll for Biden. It shows GA is pretty much in line with the other key swing states (tossup within margin of error)

Trump is not gonna win over many new voters in GA based on the way the state is trending and Trump’s trial in the state. But if Dems don’t turn out for Biden here, Trump could win it.

Also, no one serious ever thought GA was going to be an automatic layup for Biden after how close it was in 2020. If will be a hard fought race here.

I still think Georgia will be likely D just because of how the state is trending and demographics. In 2022 Georgia had a Trump +7 electorate and Kemp won by the same amount.

I thought the electorate was Trump+5

Do you know of a good exit poll from 2022?

[Devils30]

I would comment on third parties effect but any Zogby poll belongs in the trash.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

I would comment on third parties effect but any Zogby poll belongs in the trash.

The other polls Trump up by more here. Morning Consult has Trump up by 5 here (while showing more favorable Biden numbers nationally than other polls) while Redfield has Trump up by 3 here.

[Senator Incitatus]

About what I would expect.

[pbrower2a]

Due to Metro Atlanta, the Ell-Ay of the Southeast except for lacking a saltwater beach, Georgia is drifting D. See also North Carolina, which is about the same.

Does Lake Lanier count? 😝

I live in Michigan, and I know nothing about Atlanta except what I read. I've seen Lake Lanier on a map, and it looks like a good recreational site.

Now here's a surprise: Dallas and Fort Worth are close to a salty beach: Lake Texoma is actually a salt lake due to the nearby salt deposits and a climate brutally hot (about like Phoenix) six months out of the year.

[GAinDC]

Due to Metro Atlanta, the Ell-Ay of the Southeast except for lacking a saltwater beach, Georgia is drifting D. See also North Carolina, which is about the same.

Does Lake Lanier count? 😝

I live in Michigan, and I know nothing about Atlanta except what I read. I've seen Lake Lanier on a map, and it looks like a good recreational site.

Now here's a surprise: Dallas and Fort Worth are close to a salty beach: Lake Texoma is actually a salt lake due to the nearby salt deposits and a climate brutally hot (about like Phoenix) six months out of the year.

Wow! I didn’t know that. Very interesting oddity of geography

Lake Lanier is a fun local getaway but the legend goes that it’s cursed..

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

3rd party vote will be higher than 2020 sure, but this much higher? I don't buy it. Between this and that absolutely trash Harvard/Harris poll showing 18-29 year olds being simultaneously pro-hamas but also pro-firing people who support hamas, not to mention the massive polling misses in 3 of the last 4 national elections, I'm starting to just think that the polling industry in this country isn't worth listening to at all in its current form and needs to be scrapped.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

ITT - people fail to see Trump +9% with all candidates

Cornel West is not going to get anywhere close to 5% of the vote. In the end, he’s not even going to try to be a serious candidate.

[DaleCooper]

ITT - people fail to see Trump +9% with all candidates

I saw it, I'm just not dumb enough to believe it.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

ITT - people fail to see Trump +9% with all candidates

I saw it, I'm just not dumb enough to believe it.

It feels weird how you are fine believing Biden +2 in Pennsylvania with a Biden +7 electorate but dismiss any poll that shows Trump favored (while the result could be too optimistic for Trump, polls have margins of error and averaging polls reduces the overall margin of error).

It isn’t a matter of being smart or dumb; it’s simply wishful thinking or your part. The poor economy and conflicts breaking out all over the world clearly matter to voters, and Biden has no margin for error compared to last election. At some point you just need to accept that your priors are off.

[2016]

It's Zogby so put it in the Trash Can.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

It's Zogby so put it in the Trash Can.

Yes Morning Consult at Trump +5, Redfield at Trump +3, and Rasmussen at Trump +9 are even better for Trump.

[DaleCooper]

ITT - people fail to see Trump +9% with all candidates

I saw it, I'm just not dumb enough to believe it.

It feels weird how you are fine believing Biden +2 in Pennsylvania with a Biden +7 electorate but dismiss any poll that shows Trump favored (while the result could be too optimistic for Trump, polls have margins of error and averaging polls reduces the overall margin of error).

It isn’t a matter of being smart or dumb; it’s simply wishful thinking or your part. The poor economy and conflicts breaking out all over the world clearly matter to voters, and Biden has no margin for error compared to last election. At some point you just need to accept that your priors are off.

If you believe Biden is losing Georgia to Trump by 9% with or without third parties then you're dumb.