Mormon fertility falls below replacement rate.

[Crumpets]

https://twitter.com/NathanpmYoung/status/1717575473306255726

[ملكة كرينجيتوك]

We need % Mormon stats for those counties. Utah overall can probably be explained by the state no longer being supermajority LDS.

[Brittain33]

We need % Mormon stats for those counties. Utah overall can probably be explained by the state no longer being supermajority LDS.

Utah County is overwhelmingly Mormon.

[Associate Justice PiT]

We need % Mormon stats for those counties. Utah overall can probably be explained by the state no longer being supermajority LDS.

Utah County is overwhelmingly Mormon.

     Interestingly, if one supposes that the non-Mormon population of Utah County (28% per Wiki) has the American average TFR of 1.64, it would place the Mormon TFR in the ~2.4 range. Appreciably higher, but still unmistakeably dropping.

[vitoNova]

Mormon chicks are hot.

[ملكة كرينجيتوك]

We need % Mormon stats for those counties. Utah overall can probably be explained by the state no longer being supermajority LDS.

Utah County is overwhelmingly Mormon.

     Interestingly, if one supposes that the non-Mormon population of Utah County (28% per Wiki) has the American average TFR of 1.64, it would place the Mormon TFR in the ~2.4 range. Appreciably higher, but still unmistakeably dropping.

Exactly my point. 72% may be an overwhelming margin of electoral victory, but it isn't in a demographic sense.

[Kuumo]

Can confirm that non-Mormon Utah whites have such low fertility rates that they significantly drag down the average for the rest of the state. The differences between the white and overall populations are likely explained by fertility rates being the highest among nonwhite Mormons such as Pacific Islanders. That decline is unlikely to be that steep without a decline in the Mormons' fertility rate, but it will be probably be another decade or two before their TFR falls below replacement level.