Massachussets: Biden + 22%

[Redban]

Didn't see this posted

Massachussets isn't a swing state. But perhaps the results in this state, particularly RFK's performance, could be a gauge of what happens in Northeast as a whole? Maine and New Hampshire are purple-ish

22% would be the narrowest MA win for a Democrat since Clinton 1992, when he won by 19%

Kennedy would probably get his highest percentage in JFK's home-state, if he makes the ballot

Joe Biden 43%
Donald Trump 21%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 17%
Not Sure 9%
Would Not Vote 10%

https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Election2024ToplinesOct2023.pdf

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

ME and  NH are not swing states

[Senator Incitatus]

I would expect this is the state where the Kennedy number vanishes most.

[Vosem]

I would expect this to be a state where early RFK numbers take more from Biden than Trump than anywhere else, and also where the RFK numbers evaporate most the closer we get to the election.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

But guys, polling will totally underestimate Trump again!

[Rand]

“Waaahhh I got shoe polish on my thumb waaahhh,” Joe Biden cried as he waddled toddler-like to wife Jill. Apparently the President had purchased a shoeshine kit and set it up discreetly in the Treaty Room to practice for his post-presidency job after a UMass poll showed him winning the Bay State by a flaccid 22%. According to anonymous source Kamala H., Biden had wax figures made of both Donald Trump and Robert Kennedy and set them in the shoeshine stand. While polishing Wax Kennedy’s shoes Biden apparently got so caught up in pleading for him to drop out of the presidential race that he got a little bit of shoe polish on the edge of his thumb, sending him crying into the President’s Bedroom where wife Jill spit on a napkin and rubbed the polish away while reminding her husband that Election Day is over a year away and he shouldn’t let Redban get to him.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

“Waaahhh I got shoe polish on my thumb waaahhh,” Joe Biden cried as he waddled toddler-like to wife Jill. Apparently the President had purchased a shoeshine kit and set it up discreetly in the Treaty Room to practice for his post-presidency job after a UMass poll showed him winning the Bay State by a flaccid 22%. According to anonymous source Kamala H., Biden had wax figures made of both Donald Trump and Robert Kennedy and set them in the shoeshine stand. While polishing Wax Kennedy’s shoes Biden apparently got so caught up in pleading for him to drop out of the presidential race that he got a little bit of shoe polish on the edge of his thumb, sending him crying into the President’s Bedroom where wife Jill spit on a napkin and rubbed the polish away while reminding her husband that Election Day is over a year away and he shouldn’t let Redban get to him.

As we get closer to Eday 3rd party candidates go down RFK has to get on every ballot and isn't currently on any ballot, so it's premature

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Massachusetts President by UMass Poll on 2023-10-20

Summary: D: 43%, R: 21%, U: 19%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details