When will Biden regain the lead on RCP?

[Tekken_Guy]

When will Biden regain the lead on RealClearPolitics?

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Sometime next week if I had to guess, unless there’s another ABC poll coming.

[Birdish]

Of course. I cant tell you when but it's guarnteed to happen. If he holds onto it, that's the question.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It doesn't matter it's too close to voting, D's were losing in RCP and won 22 the blue wall except WI Sen it doesn't matter Biden won't lose WI, PA and MI


Rs were supposed to have 53 S seats and at least 230 H seats lol Polls are trashy, including MO Trump +15, this isn't a midterm, it's a Prez, Kunce is gonna come within 5 if Tester is up 4 and Brown only down 2

[emailking]

Next month.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Maybe when the nominations are set and it finally becomes clear that a rematch is what is in store. No more fantasizing.

[oldtimer]

Could be any time, since Trump's national polling lead is so small.

[SnowLabrador]

Probably never. The media really wants Trump to win, he's good for ratings.

[Octowakandi]

When he becomes more popular.

[Xing]

I would guess at some point in early 2024, when the pretense of the Republican primary being anything but a foregone conclusion is dropped, and it really is just Trump and Biden. Doesn’t mean he’ll hold on to it indefinitely, though.

[EastwoodS]

I think he could regain it by the end of the year and around the SOU definitely but lose it and crash around the late summer months and early fall when more people hear him and see him campaign/ or lack there of..

[Woody]

3 months later and Trump's lead is still solid.

[oldtimer]

3 months later and Trump's lead is still solid.

Biden's vote is remarkably stable at around 44 in the Head to Head.

Trump is starting to exhibit the usual yo-yo we saw in 2016 and 2020, the constant media barrage against him makes it difficult to know what his real vote share is.

A good guess is 100 - Biden(44) = 56 - 3rd parties , but what would 3rd parties take in a straight Biden vs Trump question ?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As long as they include that Harvard Harris X he never gonna lead with is pure trash now , after Biden lead in QU poll , because his Approvals aren't 39% it's 45%

[Birdish]

3 months later and Trump's lead is still solid.

It fell to +1 earlier in the week with that Rasmussen +8 still in the average before going back to +2 with those two Trump favorable Harris polls getting released back to back. Steady perhaps, but when half the lead is done by two/three(I'm of the opinion that Harris X and Harris are the same pollster) pollsters, I'd argue its not solid.

Regardless, I'm gunning for March for Biden to retake a lead, but it could be sooner or later depending on what the world has in store.

[Mr. Smith]

Right after The Convention, possibly the at the end of the primaries.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's doesn't matter the Harris X polls are clearly wrong it's tied and it's a 303/225 map anyways

[Crumpets]

If I had to make a prediction, I'll say May, once the primaries are truly over and the news cycle starts to switch more towards the conventions and the veepstakes. But obviously loads of room for error.

[President Johnson]

Probably never. The media really wants Trump to win, he's good for ratings.

It would be kind of funny if he indeed never regained the lead and then wins the popular vote and Electoral College with ease.

[Woody]

We are nearing June now. There has been a few close calls, but Trump has still maintained his lead over Biden all-year.

[soundchaser]

Not next week but the following, following a Trump conviction in New York.

[Skill and Chance]

Look through the noise and it's been approximately Trump +1 for approximately a year now.  Trump peaked in the +3's last winter and Biden peaked at about +1 late last summer.  This is actually extremely stable by recent standards.  Looks more like 2012, which was a narrow Obama lead basically throughout the final year.  Compare it to 2020, which swung frequently between Biden +4 and Biden +10 or 2016 which swung wildly between Clinton +10 and a tie.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It won't matter early voting will be starting in September

Ds were in the same position on 22, Trump is overrated as a candidate not in red but blue states he isn't up 9% in NV keep saying this

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Not next week but the following, following a Trump conviction in New York.

Voters don't care about Trump's conviction, it has no impact on their lives. Most of the country views it as a politically motivated witchhunt including many swing voters.

They care about crime, immigration, and the prices of necessities such as gas, housing, and food far more.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I don't think he does. It's over. This could be the last election we have.