Predict VA Legislature Results

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

House Popular Vote: Tie

Senate: 21 D - 19 R

SD - 16: D +4
SD - 31 (Tipping Point): D +2
SD - 24 : R +1
SD - 27: R +2

House: 50 - 50

[Skill and Chance]

Senate 22D-18R (right now, I think Dems are only favored outright in 21 seats, but they have like a 40% chance in 2 more seats after that).

HoD: 50/50 (I wonder if the tie would stick or would there be any party switches?)

[Mr.Phips]

Senate:  21D-19R
HOD:  51D-49R

[Spectator]

Senate is Likely D, bordering on Safe. Republicans need to win both a Biden +13 seat in NOVA or a Biden +17 seat in the Richmond area. I don't see it. That's assuming that the southside Biden +7 seat, the Stafford Biden +6 seat and the Newport News Biden +9 seat all go red, which I think is also a tall order.

House seems Lean D. Democrats already start at a high 48 solid seats, plus seem to be favorites in 65 and 97. I'm sure they'll win at least one of the other tossup seats.

[Tekken_Guy]

Senate 22-18D
House 52-48D

[Duke of York]

Senate 22-18 D

House of Delegates 52-48 D

[It’s so Joever]

Senate 22-18 D
HoD 50-50 (maximum chaos scenario)

[Progressive Pessimist]

Senate: 22D-18R.

House: 51D-49R.

[Skill and Chance]

Senate 22-18 D
HoD 50-50 (maximum chaos scenario)

Wouldn't the maximum chaos scenario be Senate 20R-20D and HoD 50R-50D?  And for truly maximum chaos, we would need the governor and the LG to be opposite parties when this happen!

[Nyvin]

Senate
22D-18R

I think Dems win SD-24, along with the usual 21 others

House
53D-47R

Dems win 21, 22, 65, 82, and 97.

[jamestroll]

My beautiful latino boyfriend with brown skin, brown eyes and black hair.. and he lives In Alexandria says

Senate 21 d to 19

House 52 d to 48 r.

We shall see.

Trumpkin is popular but VA leans to dems.

[heatcharger]

Democrats win both houses.

[Ferguson97]

Senate: 23D-17R

House: 53D-47R

[Senator-elect Spark]

House - 51-49 GOP
Senate - 21-19 DEM
VA-Sen: DEM 21-19
VA-HOD: GOP 51-49

HOD
Dem- +2 (49)
Pick-up of vacant seats: HD-79, HD-74

GOP- +5 (51)
Holds: HD-22, HD-82, HD-97, HD-65 (Chesterfield)
Pick up of vacant seats: HD-84 (VA Beach)

Net - GOP +3

[Epaminondas]

What would it take for leg results to line up with presidential ones?

House Dem 59-41 GOP
Senate Dem 24-16 GOP

would sound pretty good. If local Dems ran as far ahead in VA as they did in WV in 2000-2015, they'd have entrenched supermajorities.

[Person Man]

What would it take for leg results to line up with presidential ones?

House Dem 59-41 GOP
Senate Dem 24-16 GOP

would sound pretty good. If local Dems ran as far ahead in VA as they did in WV in 2000-2015, they'd have entrenched supermajorities.

Virginia is kind of the inverse of West Virginia in a lot of ways. People are “Ancestral Republicans”, whom have started voting Democratic in high profile races because of cultural issues but generally still vote for even conservative local Republicans. It might take a while before it trickles down. We might even get to the point where voter registration numbers slightly overestimate Republicans. It won’t get as extreme as it was in the 80s, where Democrats led by 10% in registrations but lost to Reagan by double digits because of how fundamentally different the country has gotten but something like that will still exist.

Either that, or the elections are either very close and Trump wins comfortably next year even though he loses Virginia, or Republicans win outright next week and Trump wins in a 35 state landslide. It’s unlikely but possible.

[smoltchanov]

Senate: 22D-18R.

House: 51D-49R.

the same....

[BigSkyBob]

22-18D and 53-47D. This is the Bush hype machine in overdrive. Resources will be wasted on a pipe dream while winnable races such as governor of Kentucky will be ignored.

[The Mikado]

I'm gonna swing for the fences here basically purely on the frounds I think Youngkin's hype machine is BS:

House 52-48 D
Senate 23-17 D