Rep. Debbie Lesko (R-Ariz.) announces she will not run for reelection
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 08:10:22 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Rep. Debbie Lesko (R-Ariz.) announces she will not run for reelection		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3
Author Topic: Rep. Debbie Lesko (R-Ariz.) announces she will not run for reelection  (Read 2569 times)
Minnesota Mike
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,085


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 17, 2023, 04:36:45 PM »
Logged
Pollster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,760


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2023, 04:39:39 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2023, 09:02:29 AM by Pollster »
Yet another do-nothing backbencher racing for the exits the second they become eligible for their lifetime pension.
Logged
Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,798


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2023, 04:46:04 PM »
Could in theory be an interesting race, cause everything about Arizona right now is seemingly up in the air. If not the General, certainly the primary between the crazies and the old guard of the suburbs.

Also, notable that she chose to announce during this speakership debacle.
Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,306
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2023, 04:50:40 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on October 17, 2023, 04:46:04 PM
Also, notable that she chose to announce during this speakership debacle.

That probably helped her make this decision, lol
Logged
Zedonathin2020
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,259
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2023, 05:05:56 PM »
Quote from: Atlas Force on October 17, 2023, 04:50:40 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on October 17, 2023, 04:46:04 PM
Also, notable that she chose to announce during this speakership debacle.

That probably helped her make this decision, lol

I wouldn’t be surprised if several others followed suit
Logged
Minnesota Mike
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,085


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2023, 05:21:55 PM »
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,205
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2023, 05:55:50 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on October 17, 2023, 05:21:55 PM


Please, no!
Logged
Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2023, 06:11:33 PM »
How many Safe-R suburban seats of major cities are there remaining?
Logged
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,634
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2023, 06:22:40 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Gov. NickG on October 17, 2023, 06:11:33 PM
How many Safe-R suburban seats of major cities are there remaining?

Depending on how broadly you define 'suburban', plausibly dozens? I live in a Safe R (eh, Likely R for a 2018 type of environment) suburban seat, OH-7, and it's not in some particularly historically Republican metropolitan area like Phoenix. (The reverse, actually). This is not that strange of a seat type.
Logged
Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,952
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2023, 06:23:59 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Gov. NickG on October 17, 2023, 06:11:33 PM
How many Safe-R suburban seats of major cities are there remaining?

Off the top of my head, 1x Jacksonville, 1-2x Long Island, 1x Tampa, 1x Orlando, 2x Houston, 3x Dallas

Arguably Buck’s seat & the new one in Georgia
Logged
Roronoa D. Law
Patrick97
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,496
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2023, 06:33:41 PM »
Can't really blame her for wanting out given the Republian current situation. Yet, nominating Master will just further erode civilty on the GOP side.
Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,306
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2023, 06:36:12 PM »
For the curious:
Logged
Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,507
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2023, 06:39:58 PM »
Quote from: Pollster on October 17, 2023, 04:39:39 PM
Yet another member racing for the exists the second they become eligible for their lifetime pension.

Still a far better version for leaving than her predecessor.
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,040
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 17, 2023, 07:04:24 PM »
« Edited: October 17, 2023, 07:14:35 PM by Roll Roons »
Safe R in 2024, but likely to be competitive later in the decade especially if the new incumbent is a lunatic (given what state we're talking about here...)
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,040
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 17, 2023, 07:15:24 PM »
As I said:
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,532


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 17, 2023, 07:26:38 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 17, 2023, 07:15:24 PM
As I said:

He only lost by less than 200 Votes so he probably wins this Seat!
Logged
Tekken_Guy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,992
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 17, 2023, 07:30:41 PM »
Quote from: 2016 on October 17, 2023, 07:26:38 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 17, 2023, 07:15:24 PM
As I said:

He only lost by less than 200 Votes so he probably wins this Seat!

Hamadeh will easily win the general, but I don’t think he has the primary in the bag.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,110


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 17, 2023, 07:37:47 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 17, 2023, 07:15:24 PM
As I said:


Republican voters are cultish now, but it feels so wrong for candidates to say they're running to serve a particular individual. Surely they should be running because they have policies they believe in and want to make their constituents' lives better?
Logged
The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,650
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.93, S: -3.83

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 17, 2023, 07:46:50 PM »
Quote from: Pericles on October 17, 2023, 07:37:47 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 17, 2023, 07:15:24 PM
As I said:


Republican voters are cultish now, but it feels so wrong for candidates to say they're running to serve a particular individual. Surely they should be running because they have policies they believe in and want to make their constituents' lives better?
The politicians are running to win. Given that winning a primary is probably harder than winning a general, this statement is probably geared towards winning the primary.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,049
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 17, 2023, 07:48:21 PM »
Quote from: Vosem on October 17, 2023, 06:22:40 PM
Quote from: Fmr. Gov. NickG on October 17, 2023, 06:11:33 PM
How many Safe-R suburban seats of major cities are there remaining?

Depending on how broadly you define 'suburban', plausibly dozens? I live in a Safe R (eh, Likely R for a 2018 type of environment) suburban seat, OH-7, and it's not in some particularly historically Republican metropolitan area like Phoenix. (The reverse, actually). This is not that strange of a seat type.
That's not really a solely suburban seat because it's backed by lots of rural areas too strengthening it's R numbers a lot, so possibly he's excluding seats like that...but if so that arguably applies to this one too.
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,040
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 17, 2023, 07:49:00 PM »
Btw, Hamadeh is the exact kind of person that I think would likely end up being an underperformer and could plausibly cause Republicans to lose this seat earlier than they should.
Logged
MargieCat
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,572
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 17, 2023, 07:49:08 PM »
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on October 17, 2023, 07:30:41 PM
Quote from: 2016 on October 17, 2023, 07:26:38 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 17, 2023, 07:15:24 PM
As I said:

He only lost by less than 200 Votes so he probably wins this Seat!

Hamadeh will easily win the general, but I don’t think he has the primary in the bag.
Lake endorsed him, which may be all he needs.
Logged
The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,650
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.93, S: -3.83

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 17, 2023, 07:52:07 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 17, 2023, 07:49:00 PM
Btw, Hamadeh is the exact kind of person that I think would likely end up being an underperformer and could plausibly cause Republicans to lose this seat earlier than they should.
He did outperform Blake Masters in 2022, another name floated for this seat. We also have no idea how the seats will lean by 2030.
Logged
Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
Shaula
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,308
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 17, 2023, 08:00:36 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on October 17, 2023, 05:21:55 PM

YES!
Logged
Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 17, 2023, 08:02:33 PM »
Quote from: MargieCat on October 17, 2023, 07:49:08 PM
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on October 17, 2023, 07:30:41 PM
Quote from: 2016 on October 17, 2023, 07:26:38 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 17, 2023, 07:15:24 PM
As I said:

He only lost by less than 200 Votes so he probably wins this Seat!

Hamadeh will easily win the general, but I don’t think he has the primary in the bag.
Lake endorsed him, which may be all he needs.

Almost certainly gets Trump's as well
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.069 seconds with 11 queries.