Predict KY-GOV
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Poll
Question: -skip-
#1
Beshear by 10 or more		  
#2
Beshear by 7-10		  
#3
Beshear by 5-7		  
#4
Beshear by 3-5		  
#5
Beshear by 1-3		  
#6
Beshear by less than 1		  
#7
Cameron by less than 1		  
#8
Cameron by 1-3		  
#9
Cameron by 3-5		  
#10
Cameron by 5-7		  
#11
Cameron by 7-10		  
#12
Cameron by more than 10		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 108

Author Topic: Predict KY-GOV  (Read 5422 times)
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #25 on: October 17, 2023, 09:20:49 AM »
Beshear + 5.3
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #26 on: October 17, 2023, 09:39:09 AM »
Beshear 52.3-Cameron 47.7 (+4.6)
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #27 on: October 17, 2023, 09:49:00 AM »

Are there any 3rd candidates on the ballot? If so, I doubt Beshear + Cameron will exactly add up to 100%.
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cg41386
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« Reply #28 on: October 17, 2023, 11:03:47 AM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on October 17, 2023, 09:49:00 AM


Are there any 3rd candidates on the ballot? If so, I doubt Beshear + Cameron will exactly add up to 100%.

Just one- Brian Fishback, an independent write-in.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #29 on: October 17, 2023, 11:06:29 AM »
50.4-48.9 Beshear
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GAinDC
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« Reply #30 on: October 17, 2023, 11:21:26 AM »
Beshear wins by a few points.

Louisiana is not Kentucky
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Red Wall
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« Reply #31 on: October 17, 2023, 01:00:29 PM »
Lean R. Cameron wins by 5
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S019
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« Reply #32 on: October 17, 2023, 07:17:19 PM »
Cameron+2
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #33 on: October 17, 2023, 07:34:04 PM »

Why do you think Cameron is going to win?
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #34 on: October 17, 2023, 08:59:35 PM »
Beshear by 5-6.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #35 on: October 17, 2023, 10:16:04 PM »
Beshear by 3-5, I hope more though.
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🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱
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« Reply #36 on: October 20, 2023, 10:57:49 AM »
I guess it's gonna be:

53% Beshear
47% Cameron

From what I know, there are no other candidates on the ballot?
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #37 on: October 20, 2023, 11:11:58 AM »
Beshear 51
Cameron 48
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #38 on: October 20, 2023, 11:32:20 AM »

I'm moving my prediction to this as well.  This feels like a classical "fake double digit Dem lead in an Appalachian state" scenario, but I still think Beshear is favored.
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cg41386
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« Reply #39 on: October 20, 2023, 01:54:18 PM »
Quote from: Purple Unicorn on October 20, 2023, 10:57:49 AM
I guess it's gonna be:

53% Beshear
47% Cameron

From what I know, there are no other candidates on the ballot?

I posted above, just one independent.
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Spectator
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« Reply #40 on: October 20, 2023, 02:03:23 PM »

That’s a good bet.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #41 on: October 20, 2023, 04:06:19 PM »
Beshear+4. I see him winning by a Roy Cooper 2020 margin.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #42 on: October 21, 2023, 01:37:24 PM »
Beshear +2
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Ragnaroni
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« Reply #43 on: October 22, 2023, 01:25:57 PM »
Beshear only won because of anti Trump backlash and by a tiny margin. Anti Biden backlash will happen.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #44 on: October 22, 2023, 01:31:28 PM »
Quote from: Ragnaroni on October 22, 2023, 01:25:57 PM
Beshear only won because of anti Trump backlash and by a tiny margin. Anti Biden backlash will happen.

He won because of anti-Trump backlash in a very pro-Trump state?
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #45 on: October 22, 2023, 02:07:51 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 22, 2023, 01:31:28 PM
Quote from: Ragnaroni on October 22, 2023, 01:25:57 PM
Beshear only won because of anti Trump backlash and by a tiny margin. Anti Biden backlash will happen.

He won because of anti-Trump backlash in a very pro-Trump state?

Yeah, that doesn't really make sense.   He won because of anti-Bevin backlash would make more sense as the bearish case for Beshear.
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Duke of York
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« Reply #46 on: October 22, 2023, 02:34:23 PM »
Quote from: Ragnaroni on October 22, 2023, 01:25:57 PM
Beshear only won because of anti Trump backlash and by a tiny margin. Anti Biden backlash will happen.
what therefore is your prediction? he will lose solely based on partisanship and approval ratings no longer mean anything?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #47 on: October 22, 2023, 03:50:14 PM »
Beasher wins by anywhere between 3 and 6 points.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #48 on: October 22, 2023, 04:19:26 PM »
Quote from: Ragnaroni on October 22, 2023, 01:25:57 PM
Beshear only won because of anti Trump backlash and by a tiny margin. Anti Biden backlash will happen.

Just like how anti-Biden backlash killed Laura Kelly in 2022, right? And how a Trump midterm was fatal to the likes of Charlie Baker and Larry Hogan?
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NYDem
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« Reply #49 on: October 22, 2023, 09:47:20 PM »
I'm expecting Beshear +2. For Kentucky that's practically a Democratic landslide these days.
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