NJ Legislature 2023 midterms

[Ferguson97]

Polls have closed.

[Birdish]

I'm just gonna sit here and pretend to know what any of this early data means.

[philly09]

Durr is losing so far in all the counties that he represents.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/ECaliberSeven/status/1722077926915527111?t=IBcZaNZJ6JulfoBE3...

The Dem here is a lakewood rabbi. This is one place where the fallout from Israel almost certainly affected the outcome and tribal consolidation.

https://twitter.com/ECaliberSeven/status/1722078654803415440?t=GVXs7sMnAXPIPekgI...

[Birdish]

NJ-38 looking like it could be a surprise flip to Republicans. That's Paramus.

[Birdish]

NJ-38 looking like it could be a surprise flip to Republicans. That's Paramus.

LD-38 I should add. This is the district directly next to mine. Don't think I've seen any Lagana signs 🤔

[Progressive Pessimist]

NJ-38 looking like it could be a surprise flip to Republicans. That's Paramus.

This is my district, there's always a red mirage. If it couldn't flip in 2021, I find it unlikely to happen this year. There's much more vote to count though. It's taking forever.

NJ-38 looking like it could be a surprise flip to Republicans. That's Paramus.

LD-38 I should add. This is the district directly next to mine. Don't think I've seen any Lagana signs 🤔

I've seen several, though not as many as GOP signs. The LD-38 ticket has swept the airwaves and mailer game though.

[Birdish]

NJ-38 looking like it could be a surprise flip to Republicans. That's Paramus.

This is my district, there's always a red mirage. If it couldn't flip in 2021, I find it unlikely to happen this year. There's much more vote to count though. It's taking forever.

NJ-38 looking like it could be a surprise flip to Republicans. That's Paramus.

LD-38 I should add. This is the district directly next to mine. Don't think I've seen any Lagana signs 🤔

I've seen several, though not as many as GOP signs. The LD-38 ticket has swept the airwaves and mailer game though.

Thank you for the context. And for what it's worth, multiple people on Twitter are saying result websites are far behind here and Lagana has a healthy lead on the SoS's website. Guess my surprise was premature.

[Birdish]

So final tally is looking like:

D+4 in the assembly.

No change in the state senate.

Go figure.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

So final tally is looking like:

D+4 in the assembly.

No change in the state senate.

Go figure.

Is that no change counting that guy who switched parties in that Safe R seat and retired or counting him as a Republican that he was elected as?

[Birdish]

So final tally is looking like:

D+4 in the assembly.

No change in the state senate.

Go figure.

Is that no change counting that guy who switched parties in that Safe R seat and retired or counting him as a Republican that he was elected as?

Democrats lost that seat and won back NJ-3. So it remains 25-15 Democrat.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/SageOfTime1/status/1722128042552651827?t=TvOvf_efMMZSmeF60vs...



The party switcher should be obvious,  for those who don't know the situation.

[Progressive Pessimist]

https://twitter.com/SageOfTime1/status/1722128042552651827?t=TvOvf_efMMZSmeF60vs...



The party switcher should be obvious,  for those who don't know the situation.

The only result this year I was far off on! I really thought the Republicans would net at least one Senate seat and maybe two Assembly seats.

[LabourJersey]

Overall a much better night for Democrats than I expected.

NJ Dems must be regretting the fact that they completely ignored LD-21 (Westfield/west Union County, my old area). Bramnick only won with 54% of the vote, and that was as a strong incumbent and a comically weak opponent in Matt Marino.

If they invested money there Bramnick and his Assemblymates could have lost.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Is this guy who won the Lakewood Assembly seat an actual Democrat or is he a Simcha Felder-like DINO?

[Roll Roons]

Is this guy who won the Lakewood Assembly seat an actual Democrat or is he a Simcha Felder-like DINO?

The latter.

[Birdish]

Is this guy who won the Lakewood Assembly seat an actual Democrat or is he a Simcha Felder-like DINO?

The latter.

The comparison I read was like how the NY assembly has democrat orthodox representatives. It's not because they're actually democrats, but it make it so your community atleast has a seat at the table.

[wbrocks67]

https://www.insidernj.com/r-e-poll-whats-most-important-to-new-jersey-voters-on-election-day/

Per the final Rutgers poll, the issues voters care most about are the economy, cost of living and taxes. Democrats care a lot about abortion and Republicans care a lot about parental rights in education, while independents are evenly split on both of those.

Huh, would've expected the "parental rights" stuff to gain more traction since that seems like its been the GOP's main culture war wedge issue. Abortion being at 59% very important to parental rights 47% seems of note.

Seems like this may have been apt. The parental rights/GOP culture war stuff clearly backfired on them last night.

[Ferguson97]

A bunch of Moms for Liberty candidates got their asses handed to them. If the GOP messaging on school board stuff is resonating with voters, it sure as hell wasn’t reflected in last night’s elections.

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1722297842117619823

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/terrencemcd/status/1722277935225483758
https://twitter.com/SageOfTime1/status/1722289543104086177

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I'm surprised there aren't any Democrats elected in Morris County, but that map actually looks gerrymandered in that area. It splits all the Democratic areas there apart and links them to much more Republican areas.

[smoltchanov]

As usual - the most endangered are the most moderate (and frequently - the most sane) officeholders, like 2 Republican Assemblywomen in LD 11.  Fate of the moderates - they are almost always hated (from BOTH sides), and always endangered)))))

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/ECaliberSeven/status/1722764386148704733

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1722767397277327734
The guru of NJ politics thinks Rs will still hold that seat in a squeaker, but this still shouldn't have been close.