KY-Gov (WPA Intelligence/Club for Growth PAC):Beshear +6

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/TessaDuvall/status/1709669256403485166?s=20

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

Likely D at this point.

[BigZuck08]

This is a Republican internal, so this equals to Beshear leading double digits.

Yeah Beshear is winning re-election, not by double digits I don't think but he is definitely winning re-election.

[wbrocks67]

This makes sense; Cameron just has not been able to breakthrough.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Lean or Likely D

[Pericles]

Beshear is on track for an amazing performance, he must be good at this.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I am absolutely astounded at how this race failed to be competitive and interesting.

Beshear might just win by the mid-single digits at worst, potentially.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe D

[Roll Roons]

Honestly, I'm not even sure why Cameron ran here. I think Beshear was going to be favored no matter what.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

Beshear is on track for an amazing performance, he must be good at this.

Incumbent governors almost always outperform substantially.

[Alben Barkley]

Honestly, I'm not even sure why Cameron ran here. I think Beshear was going to be favored no matter what.

That's what I've been saying. Would have made much more sense to just run for AG again and wait until his mentor Cocaine Mitch retires/dies to run for his seat. He had nothing to gain and everything to lose with this run. Makes no sense to me, but OK, if it means a potential future Republican threat is eliminated I'll take it. Although honestly, based on his lackluster campaign and charisma-free advertisements, I'm not sure he was ever much of a threat at all.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

If he really wins by this much, Biden is probably in better shape than he's polling.

[Mr.Phips]

I still think this is going to end up being something like 51%-49%. 

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

If he really wins by this much, Biden is probably in better shape than he's polling.

It means very little, just like how Sununu +16 doesn't mean that New Hampshire is likely to flip.

[Pericles]

Beshear is on track for an amazing performance, he must be good at this.

Incumbent governors almost always outperform substantially.

That is true, but this is nowhere close to a swing state. Kentucky is deep Trump country so well done to any Democrat winning or even coming close there.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

Beshear is on track for an amazing performance, he must be good at this.

Incumbent governors almost always outperform substantially.

That is true, but this is nowhere close to a swing state. Kentucky is deep Trump country so well done to any Democrat winning or even coming close there.

Phil Scott just won Vermont by a landslide. Hogan and Baker won pretty easily in 2018.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

If he really wins by this much, Biden is probably in better shape than he's polling.

It means very little, just like how Sununu +16 doesn't mean that New Hampshire is likely to flip.

NH President D+8
 KY President R+26

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Beshear is on track for an amazing performance, he must be good at this.

Incumbent governors almost always outperform substantially.

That is true, but this is nowhere close to a swing state. Kentucky is deep Trump country so well done to any Democrat winning or even coming close there.

Phil Scott just won Vermont by a landslide. Hogan and Baker won pretty easily in 2018.

Laura Kelly won by 2 points despite the abortion amendment resoundingly passing. John Bel Edwards won by 3 points in 2019 despite having overwhelmingly positive approval ratings.
If Beshear wins by 6 or more, it’s a sign something is up

[DrScholl]

It still could be decided within 1-2%, but this is an indicator that even a close decision will favor Beshear. Cameron going on the defensive over exceptions for abortion really reinforced that he's in trouble here.

[SnowLabrador]

Beshear is on track for an amazing performance, he must be good at this.

Incumbent governors almost always outperform substantially.

That is true, but this is nowhere close to a swing state. Kentucky is deep Trump country so well done to any Democrat winning or even coming close there.

Phil Scott just won Vermont by a landslide. Hogan and Baker won pretty easily in 2018.

Laura Kelly won by 2 points despite the abortion amendment resoundingly passing. John Bel Edwards won by 3 points in 2019 despite having overwhelmingly positive approval ratings.
If Beshear wins by 6 or more, it’s a sign something is up

That "something" would be that Daniel Cameron is a horrible candidate. Nothing more, nothing less. Not every candidate is going to be that bad in 2024.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Beshear is on track for an amazing performance, he must be good at this.

Incumbent governors almost always outperform substantially.

That is true, but this is nowhere close to a swing state. Kentucky is deep Trump country so well done to any Democrat winning or even coming close there.

Phil Scott just won Vermont by a landslide. Hogan and Baker won pretty easily in 2018.

Laura Kelly won by 2 points despite the abortion amendment resoundingly passing. John Bel Edwards won by 3 points in 2019 despite having overwhelmingly positive approval ratings.
If Beshear wins by 6 or more, it’s a sign something is up

That "something" would be that Daniel Cameron is a horrible candidate. Nothing more, nothing less. Not every candidate is going to be that bad in 2024.

I know responding to you is futile, however this is sad even from you lol. Talk about revisionist history. Cameron has been hyped as a strong candidate lol

[Hope For A New Era]

If he really wins by this much, Biden is probably in better shape than he's polling.

KYGOV bellwether!