How each BR state would vote if they were in the US and Catholics were swapped with mainline Protest

[Blow by blow, the passion dies]

Acre: Previously Democratic due to public works, but now Republican due to its highly evangelical population.
Alagoas: Solid South-esque state that is now solidly Republican outside of major cities.
Amazonas: Republican-leaning swing state which leaned Democratic before the 2000s but switched due to its growing evangelical population and the relative irrelevance of Amerindians as a voting bloc.
Amapá: Previously Democratic and currently Republican due to its high crime rate.
Bahia: Safe R due to its large rural population, while blacks around Salvador vote Democratic.
Ceará: Ancestrally Democratic due to machine politics andbthe New Deal, but now Lean R.
Distrito Federal: Democratic-leaning swing state due to its high population of Northeastern migrants.
Espírito Santo: Has learned Democratic since the 1990s due to its high living standards.
Goiás: One of the most Republican states in the nation given its rural bent.
Maranhão: Like the rest of the Northeast, highly Democratic state that is now Republican.
Mato Grosso: Highly Republican due to evangelical and rural influence.
Minas Gerais: Swing state where Democrats dominate major cities and Republicans the Triangle and North.
Pará: Leans Democratic given its high indigenous population and low living standards.
Paraná: As one of the most developed states in the Union, it leans Democratic.
Pernambuco: Safe R like the rest of the Northeast.
Piauí: See above.
Rio de Janeiro: Previously safely Democratic due to its high income and artistic population, but Republicans have grown.
Rio Grande do Norte: Leans Republican but Democrats are strong there.
Rondônia and Roraima: Have almost always voted Republican due to their size and evangelical growth.
Santa Catarina: Democratic-leaning swing state, as its large immigrant population makes things close.
São Paulo: Democratic-leaning swing state, as voters outside the metropolis are strongly conservative.
Sergipe: Safe R.
Tocantins: Democratic-leaning swing state given the state voters' concerns about the environment.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

I would think the overwhelmingly Pardo majority in the Northeastern states would skew Democratic?