French Presidential Election; 2nd round thread (user search)
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  French Presidential Election; 2nd round thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: French Presidential Election; 2nd round thread  (Read 94135 times)
Sam Spade
SamSpade
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« on: May 04, 2007, 06:44:52 AM »
Prediction (and I am bad at French elections, as you've discovered)

Sarkozy 53.4
Royal 46.6
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #1 on: May 04, 2007, 04:25:30 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on May 04, 2007, 06:44:52 AM
Prediction (and I am bad at French elections, as you've discovered)

Sarkozy 53.4
Royal 46.6

After today's Royal outburst, I'm pushing Sarkozy up a point to 54.4 and I personally think he could get over 55.  It's always easy to sense when a candidate is definitely going to lose, and this is that day.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #2 on: May 06, 2007, 01:02:55 PM »
Quote from: Free Alan! on May 06, 2007, 10:12:05 AM
It'll either be surprisingly close, or Sarkozy will win by a larger than expected margin.

After Royal's recent actions, I really couldn't see Sarkozy below 52% (probably not 53% either).  The real question in my mind was whether he could break 55%.  I still stand by my 54.4% prediction, though.
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