VA GOV COEFFICIENT SPANBERGER +1/+4
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  VA GOV COEFFICIENT SPANBERGER +1/+4
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Author Topic: VA GOV COEFFICIENT SPANBERGER +1/+4  (Read 835 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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Jamaica
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« on: September 22, 2023, 11:46:33 AM »

https://foundersinsight.com/more-virginians-will-likely-vote-early-than-on-election-day/


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Spectator
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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2023, 11:48:31 AM »

Recalled Youngkin vote is way too high
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2023, 12:01:46 PM »

Recalled Youngkin vote is way too high
Youngkin may very well run for Senate in 2026 especially if Warner retires. His Approvals and Favorables are much higher compared to when Gillespie launched his Bid for Senate in 2014.

Biden and D's are going to face a wipeout in 2026.
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President Johnson
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Germany


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E: -3.23, S: -4.70


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« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2023, 01:56:06 PM »

Recalled Youngkin vote is way too high
Youngkin may very well run for Senate in 2026 especially if Warner retires. His Approvals and Favorables are much higher compared to when Gillespie launched his Bid for Senate in 2014.

Biden and D's are going to face a wipeout in 2026.

It's more likely ends like Steve Bullock in 2020 or Bill Weld in 1996. Popular governors don't always make good senate candidates.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 88,671
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #4 on: September 22, 2023, 02:01:29 PM »

Recalled Youngkin vote is way too high
Youngkin may very well run for Senate in 2026 especially if Warner retires. His Approvals and Favorables are much higher compared to when Gillespie launched his Bid for Senate in 2014.

Biden and D's are going to face a wipeout in 2026.

Warner isn't retiring and Ds are so close to Filibuster proof Trifecta, we would of won it in 22 but IAN happened and DeWine, Budd, Vance and Johnson and Zeldin overperformrned

He is only 66, if we lose the S based on MT Jeff Jackson is gonna run against Tillis regardless if he loses his H seat or not
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #5 on: September 22, 2023, 06:02:55 PM »

Considering the source, this is a decent starting point for Spanberger.

Who her opponent is and who is in the White House may have an impact, but I don't know what it will take for the Virginia GOP to have an environment like 2021 again post-Dobbs.
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