BREAKING NEWS: Siena Poll - Hillary slides in New York, Obama now leads Giuliani

[Tender Branson]

Siena New York Poll:

"“Hillary’s favorability rating is the lowest it’s been in more than two years of the Siena New York poll,” Greenberg said.  “The fall in her rating has been dramatic since January, when she had a 60-33 favorability rating.  Just as dramatic is the tightening of both the primary and general election match-ups.  Hillary led Obama by 47 points in January and 32 points last month, now her lead is 22 points."

The numbers:

Clinton/favorable/unfavorable:

April 07: 50/42
Nov 06: 65/29

Obama/favorable/unfavorable:

April 07: 55/23
Nov 06: 48/12

Edwards/favorable/unfavorable:

April 07: 52/29
Nov 06: 42/23

Giuliani/favorable/unfavorable:

April 07: 56/38
Nov 06: 63/32

McCain/favorable/unfavorable:

April 07: 45/39
Nov 06: 56/24

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY:

Clinton: 39%
Obama: 17%
Gore: 12%
Edwards: 11%

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY:

Giuliani: 47%
McCain: 16%
Romney: 8%
Gingrich: 7%
Pataki: 6%

General Election:

Clinton vs. Giuliani: 48:43 (53:39 in November 06)
Clinton vs. McCain: 51:39 (55:36)

Obama vs. Giuliani: 47:43 (41:47)
Obama vs. McCain: 50:37 (39:40)

Bush Favorables:

April 07: 29/65
Nov 06: 28/65

http://www.siena.edu/sri/results/2007/07_Apr_NYPoll.htm

[Keystone Phil]

I love that Pataki is still being included in polls.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

yay!

[Eraserhead]

It is my dream for Hillary to lose the New York state primary.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

This is a uni poll, isn't it?

[Tender Branson]

This is a uni poll, isn't it?

Yes, not so bad in 2006 and they were better than Quinnipiac in 2004. Quinnipiac predicted Kerry would win NY by only 6 ...

[Verily]

This is a uni poll, isn't it?

Siena's not so bad as long as they stick to New York. It's when they try to poll New Jersey or Vermont or Connecticut that it breaks down.

Being below 40% in her "home state" is dreadful for Clinton. Compare to Illinois, where Obama was well over 50% in the couple of polls we've seen, or even North Carolina, where Edwards, despite polling around half of Clinton nationwide, managed 39% as well.

[Eraserhead]

This is a uni poll, isn't it?

Siena's not so bad as long as they stick to New York. It's when they try to poll New Jersey or Vermont or Connecticut that it breaks down.

Being below 40% in her "home state" is dreadful for Clinton. Compare to Illinois, where Obama was well over 50% in the couple of polls we've seen, or even North Carolina, where Edwards, despite polling around half of Clinton nationwide, managed 39% as well.

Where did you see these Illinois polls? I have only seen one (from ARG) a while back and Obama only had a small lead in it.

[Verily]

This is a uni poll, isn't it?

Siena's not so bad as long as they stick to New York. It's when they try to poll New Jersey or Vermont or Connecticut that it breaks down.

Being below 40% in her "home state" is dreadful for Clinton. Compare to Illinois, where Obama was well over 50% in the couple of polls we've seen, or even North Carolina, where Edwards, despite polling around half of Clinton nationwide, managed 39% as well.

Where did you see these Illinois polls? I have only seen one (from ARG) a while back and Obama only had a small lead in it.

I don't remember, both were a long time ago. Maybe February?