Presidential Rematches
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Presidential Rematches		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Presidential Rematches  (Read 1084 times)
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« on: April 21, 2007, 01:16:57 PM »
Who would win the following races:
2004-Bush v. Gore
1996-Clinton v. Bush I
1992-Bush I v. Dukakis
1984-Reagan v. Carter
1980-Carter v. Ford
1972-Nixon v. Humphrey

Maps, please?
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CPT MikeyMike
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« Reply #1 on: April 21, 2007, 03:38:03 PM »
1972 - Nixon - smaller margin
1980 - Ford - landslide
1984 - Reagan - landslide
1992 - Toss-up - probably Bush though
1996 - Toss-up - Bush could have pulled it off
2004 - Bush - close election
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Reignman
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« Reply #2 on: April 21, 2007, 03:46:33 PM »
1972 - Nixon, smaller margin than actual '72 election

1980 - Ford by a little bit

1984 - Reagan, similar margin

1992 - Toss-up

1996 - Clinton, similar margin

2004 - Bush in another squeaker
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True Democrat
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: April 21, 2007, 05:24:26 PM »
1972:

404-134
CA might be a stretch, but whatever.

1980 (I'm assuming no Anderson):

403-135

1984 (Carter does 3-5% better across the South, which means Reagan can't get over 60%):

421-117

With 1992, I'm really unsure.  On one hand, I could see Perot getting the same amount of support in the end with Bush I winning over Dukakis by about 5%.  On the other hand, I could see Perot getting over 25% and the race being a tossup.

1996 (Bush would run worse than Dole.  He has nothing new to offer, and him running again would just make the Republicans look more desperate.  I'm assuming Perot gets about the same amount of support):

430-108

2004 (Gore starts off about the same as Kerry, but he never recovers in the first debate like Kerry does, giving Bush a fairly sizeable victory of about 5 points of so:

345-193
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Aizen
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« Reply #4 on: April 21, 2007, 05:54:27 PM »
Bush would not beat Gore in 2004. Gore is a much stronger candidate than Kerry and Bush barely beat Kerry.
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Dr. Cynic
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« Reply #5 on: April 21, 2007, 10:27:18 PM »
72 - Nixon... Though barely
80 - Ford in a landslide
84 - Reagan smashes anybody
92 - Tossup...
96 - Clinton in a landslide
04 - Tossup... Depends on how Gore runs
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Wakie
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« Reply #6 on: April 21, 2007, 10:58:18 PM »
1972 - Nixon
1980 - Ford
1984 - Reagan
1992 - Bush I
1996 - Clinton
2004 - Gore
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Hash
Hashemite
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« Reply #7 on: April 22, 2007, 03:32:45 AM »
72- Nixon
80- Ford
84- Reagan smaller margin
92- Dukakis
96- Clinton
04- Gore
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: April 23, 2007, 01:10:40 PM »
« Edited: April 23, 2007, 01:18:30 PM by Eraserhead »
Quote from: South Park Conservative on April 21, 2007, 01:16:57 PM
Who would win the following races:
2004-Bush v. Gore
1996-Clinton v. Bush I
1992-Bush I v. Dukakis
1984-Reagan v. Carter
1980-Carter v. Ford
1972-Nixon v. Humphrey

Maps, please?

2004-Bush (similar margin to Bush-Kerry)
1996-Clinton (similar margin Clinton-Dole)
1992-Dukakis (much smaller than Clinton-Bush)
1984-Reagan (a little smaller than Reagan-Mondale)
1980-Ford (landslide but not as big as Reagan-Carter)
1972-Nixon (not nearly as large as Nixon-McGovern)
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