When will the next Republican be able to win Cuyahoga County?

[WalterWhite]

The last time a Republican won Cuyahoga County in a statewide race was the 2014 Ohio Gubernatorial Election. DeWine could not accomplish this in 2018 or 2022 (although he did in 2000), and neither could Rob Portman or J.D. Vance. Will a Republican ever be able to win Cuyahoga County, and if so, when?

[TwinGeeks99]

Not for the foreseeable future given current coalitions.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Not for the foreseeable future given current coalitions.

Ye. Even if it has slowly drifted right, it's still a county Democrats reliably get over 60% of the vote; even in recent GOP landslides like 2022 OH Gov DeWine still lost by well over 10%.

The fact is Cuyahoga County is home to a pretty large city (Cleveland), has a notable black population, is northern, and has no distinct cultural reason that'd make it abnormally R like Miami.

The reason it voted R in 2014 was because things were generally a lot less polarized, especially in Cleveland's whiter suburbs. Even though some of Cleveland's white suburbs have shifted right since the Obama years, I'd still argue Dems have gained a higher floor.

[Dave Hedgehog]

When the state as a whole votes R by a West Virginia-like 30+-point margin. Can't see that happening under any circumstances (presidentially at least).

[Rjjr77]

The last time a Republican won Cuyahoga County in a statewide race was the 2014 Ohio Gubernatorial Election. DeWine could not accomplish this in 2018 or 2022 (although he did in 2000), and neither could Rob Portman or J.D. Vance. Will a Republican ever be able to win Cuyahoga County, and if so, when?

It could happen again if another 2014 type situation happens again where the democratic candidate just implodes

[Arizona Iced Tea]

A bit off topic, but I find it hilarious that Kasich lost Monroe county despite his landslide win despite Romney even carrying it in 2012 while losing the state. What happened?

[WalterWhite]

A bit off topic, but I find it hilarious that Kasich lost Monroe county despite his landslide win despite Romney even carrying it in 2012 while losing the state. What happened?

Appalachian Ohio was VERY Democratic in statewide races back in those days. It was Ted Strickland's strongest region in 2006 and 2010.

[Senator Incitatus]

A bit off topic, but I find it hilarious that Kasich lost Monroe county despite his landslide win despite Romney even carrying it in 2012 while losing the state. What happened?

Believe it was about a specific plant closure.

[Atlas Force]

A bit off topic, but I find it hilarious that Kasich lost Monroe county despite his landslide win despite Romney even carrying it in 2012 while losing the state. What happened?

Appalachian Ohio was VERY Democratic in statewide races back in those days. It was Ted Strickland's strongest region in 2006 and 2010.

It helped that he had represented the region in Congress

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

2102 Ohio Gubernatorial

[Rjjr77]

A bit off topic, but I find it hilarious that Kasich lost Monroe county despite his landslide win despite Romney even carrying it in 2012 while losing the state. What happened?

Ormet aluminum plant asked for a waiver from the state Public Utilities Commission, didnt get the full waiver from Kasich's admin. It closed, 1,000 jobs left

[SnowLabrador]

The next Republican governor running for reelection. The brain drain out of Ohio is accelerating, and while I don't blame people for wanting to make the best decisions for themselves and their families, it does increase the odds of a national abortion ban.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Never

[WalterWhite]

Never

This is the most coherence I have seen from olawakandi in a while.

[MarkD]

Never

This is the most coherence I have seen from olawakandi in a while.

Yes, and he's correct!

[Fuzzy Bear]

A bit off topic, but I find it hilarious that Kasich lost Monroe county despite his landslide win despite Romney even carrying it in 2012 while losing the state. What happened?

Appalachian Ohio was VERY Democratic in statewide races back in those days. It was Ted Strickland's strongest region in 2006 and 2010.

It helped that he had represented the region in Congress

This is the area my adult boys and their kids live in, and where I will be retiring to in a few years.  Strickland is from that area; he is something of a family friend in that he is friends with one of my son's in-laws.  And much of that area has some Democratic roots; it's more of a Border State feel than a Midwestern State feel in that area.

But it's an area that has been abandoned by the Democrats, thanks to their war on coal, and their lack of concern for the conservative WWC (even when they are union members).  It's the ultimate in Trump country, and it's realignment to mega-Republican from a lean-Republican area is one reason Ohio is, at present, out of reach for Democrats, despite Cincinnati and Columbus shifting to the Dems.