2023 Nashville Mayor: Rolli vs O'Connell

[100% pro-life no matter what]

In tonight's multi-candidate blanket primary, the most progressive candidate and the only Republican candidate have advanced to a runoff in the non-partisan race.

Freddie O'Connell, a staunch progressive who got 27% of the vote is definitely the favorite in blue-leaning Nashville.

But, I definitely expect Alice Rolli to expand upon her 20%, as many conservatives strategically voted for moderates like Matt Wiltshire, thinking that they would have a better chance to beat O'Connell.  And, Alice Rolli is more like David Fox (a 2015 candidate who got 45% in the runoff) than Carol Swain (a vocal right-wing activist who ran a couple times for mayor).

But, Nashville is more blue than in 2015.  Still, I think Rolli does better than Trump, especially against the most progressive candidate.

59-41% O'Connell is my runoff prediction.

[PSOL]

I have a feeling it might be competitive, this is definitely a race to watch out for.

[NewYorkExpress]

We have a poll from Show Me Victories.

https://www.showmevictories.com/news/freddie-oconnell-leads-alice-rolli-by-double-digits-in-the-race-for-nashville-mayor/

Show Me Victories, a full-service political consulting company based in St. Louis, MO, conducted a survey of 430 registered voters in Davidson County who are likely to vote in the September 14 Metro Nashville Mayoral runoff election. The results showed Freddie O’Connell with support of 58% of Nashville voters and Alice Rolli with 40%, with 2% undecided. Of the 2% of undecided voters, 91% of them are leaning toward voting for O’Connell.

“O’Connell is the clear front runner in the race for Nashville Mayor,” stated Show Me Victories Senior Political Strategist, Braxton Payne. “83% of O’Connell voters strongly support his candidacy and 91% of undecided of voters pick O’Connell as their first choice.” O’Connell’s positive campaign has resonated with Nashville voters.

A vast majority of Nashville voters think Nashville is heading in the wrong direction. 66% of Nashville voters view Nashville as heading in the wrong direction, while 34% say Nashville is heading in the right direction. Only 34% of voters approve of Mayor John Cooper’s job performance, while 49% disapprove.

This one's basically over. It looks like the only question might be, how much does O'Connell win by?

[Oryxslayer]

Why these remain on Thursday is a mystery. Anyway, O'Connell's up by a lot right now but only a handful of precincts and mostly absentees and early reporting.

https://www.nashville.gov/departments/elections/election-results-and-statistics/election-results/current-election

[Oryxslayer]

All precincts reporting, Progressive Dem O'Connell defeats Republican Alice Rolli.

Was not close. 61,840 votes to 34,384, or 64.2% to 35.7% with 0.1% for Write-ins. That's basically matching Biden, albeit Thursday turnout is not equivalent to November.

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/maxtmcc/status/1702515307405832384

[PSOL]

If O'Connell doesn't restart the rail plan previously put on an initiative, I will never support him for anything he does.

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

https://twitter.com/maxtmcc/status/1702515307405832384

Matt Walsh must be seething over his new councilwoman.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

It looks very much like a standard partisan map in Nashville, with Rolli winning parts of the favored quarter bordering Williamson County, areas along Old Hickory Lake, and extremely rural areas.

https://twitter.com/StonesRiverGrp/status/1702710333465305240?s=19

[Zedonathin2020]

https://twitter.com/maxtmcc/status/1702515307405832384

Matt Walsh must be seething over his new councilwoman.

What'll make it even better is if she's elected to Congress should Nashville get a Democratic district again after 2030

[Oryxslayer]

I'm going to bump this thread - cause it's the most relevant one available - to mention tonight is the Memphis Mayoral contest. This is the largest city in the county that uses a single-round format with everyone on the ballot, and the plurality FPTP. The city has tried to change their former system a few times, but ended stuck in this limbo cause the Legislature blocked the proposed reforms.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1710120322752549314?t=HrfZ_onXNeyDxJWnWmHCrA&a...

https://twitter.com/Uncrewed/status/1710127268083782092?t=nFkMSJJv07qnAS_4UXt08A...

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/ColePerryTN/status/1710266695745511565?t=pE4DP9tENumj6FBhMh9...