VA-GOV 2025: Spanberger running

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

I wonder if she’s already eyeing a 2028 Presidential run if she wins the governorship. That would be awesome.

Ngl Warnock/Spanberger (or Vice versus) would be a good ticket

[PSOL]

Damnit, I was going to vote for any generic D like Mcaullife to secure the VA National Reserve, but now that it is MIC-Sponsored Spanberger, I will abstain.

[Del Tachi]

I wonder if she’s already eyeing a 2028 Presidential run if she wins the governorship. That would be awesome.

Dixiecrat Revival:  Beshear/Spanberger 2028!

[Holmes]

I wonder if she’s already eyeing a 2028 Presidential run if she wins the governorship. That would be awesome.

A former CIA officer who has openly criticized the left in the past would be a tough sell to the national Democratic electorate.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

I wonder if she’s already eyeing a 2028 Presidential run if she wins the governorship. That would be awesome.

She could very well become President in 2028. She is basically guaranteed the governorship in 2025 if she wins the primary as Trump will be President, and the 2028 President is at least Lean D.

[President Johnson]

Definitely endorsed.

I guess under Trump it would be a very likely pickup, under Biden more of a tossup or just Tilt Democratic, depending on the Republican nominee (most likely Sears).

[Progressive Pessimist]

Definitely endorsed.

I guess under Trump it would be a very likely pickup, under Biden more of a tossup or just Tilt Democratic, depending on the Republican nominee (most likely Sears).

With Dobbs now as an issue, I think Virginia Governor with Biden in the White House will be lean D at a minimum.

You are right that it's pretty much safe D with Trump.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

If Trump wins then this is borderline a lock to flip. However, if Biden wins I could see Rs holding onto this depending on Youngkin approval. Winsome Sears is also good candidate and I could see this being tossup if she runs.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

If Trump wins then this is borderline a lock to flip. However, if Biden wins I could see Rs holding onto this depending on Youngkin approval. Winsome Sears is also good candidate and I could see this being tossup if she runs.

I always had the impression that Sears was more like Mark Robinson.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

If Trump wins then this is borderline a lock to flip. However, if Biden wins I could see Rs holding onto this depending on Youngkin approval. Winsome Sears is also good candidate and I could see this being tossup if she runs.

I always had the impression that Sears was more like Mark Robinson.

I don't believe she's made any controversial statements like Robinson. Her resume is actually quite impressive too. The only issue where she is a bit farther right than Youngkin on is guns, but its Virginia so it makes sense.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I agree with most people here. Likely, but bordering on Safe D if Trump's in the White House. Tilt/Lean D with Biden.

I don't think the Republicans really have much of a bench in the state. Kiggans would probably be their best bet (if she doesn't lose next year). Sears wouldn't be terrible, but she wouldn't be great either. Miyares should be their last choice, I can't see him winning even under Biden.

I wonder if she’s already eyeing a 2028 Presidential run if she wins the governorship. That would be awesome.

Yeah, I think she'd at least enter the conversation.

[Alben Barkley]

I wonder if she’s already eyeing a 2028 Presidential run if she wins the governorship. That would be awesome.

Dixiecrat Revival:  Beshear/Spanberger 2028!

Unironically this would be the greatest ticket imaginable. I would race to the campaign headquarters and beg to be hired on it. I'd quit my lucrative job and just be an unpaid intern if I had to. I'd be an absolute diehard fanatic for this ticket like I never have been for any other.

[LabourJersey]

I wonder if she’s already eyeing a 2028 Presidential run if she wins the governorship. That would be awesome.

I disagree about running for President.

The timing of Virginia gubernatorial elections are *very* unfavorable for running a presidential campaign.

You either have to lay the groundwork for a run immediately, try to run late only to be beset by your midterms, or run long after your term ends when you're less relevant.

Virginia Governors are basically operating on a different timeline from the rest of politics.

VP is a different story, though.

[Del Tachi]

I wonder if she’s already eyeing a 2028 Presidential run if she wins the governorship. That would be awesome.

Dixiecrat Revival:  Beshear/Spanberger 2028!

Unironically this would be the greatest ticket imaginable. I would race to the campaign headquarters and beg to be hired on it. I'd quit my lucrative job and just be an unpaid intern if I had to. I'd be an absolute diehard fanatic for this ticket like I never have been for any other.

I would vote for this ticket, even after two terms of Biden.

[LtNOWIS]

I wonder if she’s already eyeing a 2028 Presidential run if she wins the governorship. That would be awesome.

I disagree about running for President.

The timing of Virginia gubernatorial elections are *very* unfavorable for running a presidential campaign.

You either have to lay the groundwork for a run immediately, try to run late only to be beset by your midterms, or run long after your term ends when you're less relevant.

Virginia Governors are basically operating on a different timeline from the rest of politics.

VP is a different story, though.

Her timing works pretty well if there's an open Senate seat in 2030 or 2032 though.

[JMT]

Spanberger is getting a ton of local endorsements, but this one from Elaine Luria seems particularly noteworthy, since there was some speculation that Luria may also run for Governor. This takes Luria out of contention.

https://twitter.com/elaineluria/status/1725515171609665783?s=46&t=-r8JGlJno4...

[Tekken_Guy]

Spanberger is getting a ton of local endorsements, but this one from Elaine Luria seems particularly noteworthy, since there was some speculation that Luria may also run for Governor. This takes Luria out of contention.

https://twitter.com/elaineluria/status/1725515171609665783?s=46&t=-r8JGlJno4...

It's possible Luria runs for Senate in 2026 if Warner retires.

[JMT]

Spanberger is getting a ton of local endorsements, but this one from Elaine Luria seems particularly noteworthy, since there was some speculation that Luria may also run for Governor. This takes Luria out of contention.

https://twitter.com/elaineluria/status/1725515171609665783?s=46&t=-r8JGlJno4...

It's possible Luria runs for Senate in 2026 if Warner retires.

That would be great! If Luria is looking to run for something sooner, she could go for Lieutenant Governor in 2025. A Spanberger - Luria “ticket” would be amazing. But, maybe she holds off for Senate in 2026 (or later).

It does seem like a 2024 run for VA-02 is off the table for Luria, though. It seems that the party is coalescing around Missy Cotter Smasal to face off against Kiggans.

[MargieCat]

She's racking up lots of endorsements.

I wonder if Denver Riggleman will endorse her gubernatorial campaign the same way he did for her last congressional run?

[Spectator]

Spanberger is getting a ton of local endorsements, but this one from Elaine Luria seems particularly noteworthy, since there was some speculation that Luria may also run for Governor. This takes Luria out of contention.

https://twitter.com/elaineluria/status/1725515171609665783?s=46&t=-r8JGlJno4...

It's possible Luria runs for Senate in 2026 if Warner retires.

I think Lt. Governor is more likely given Luria's involvement in state politics post-2022.

[Fwillb21]

I am really hoping that 2028 will be THE YEAR that we finally break that glass ceiling and elect our First Woman President, regardless of what happens next year.

I wonder if she’s already eyeing a 2028 Presidential run if she wins the governorship. That would be awesome.

She could very well become President in 2028. She is basically guaranteed the governorship in 2025 if she wins the primary as Trump will be President, and the 2028 President is at least Lean D.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I am really hoping that 2028 will be THE YEAR that we finally break that glass ceiling and elect our First Woman President, regardless of what happens next year.

I wonder if she’s already eyeing a 2028 Presidential run if she wins the governorship. That would be awesome.

She could very well become President in 2028. She is basically guaranteed the governorship in 2025 if she wins the primary as Trump will be President, and the 2028 President is at least Lean D.

You know it's not going to happen, right?

[Frodo]

I wonder if she’s already eyeing a 2028 Presidential run if she wins the governorship. That would be awesome.

I disagree about running for President.

The timing of Virginia gubernatorial elections are *very* unfavorable for running a presidential campaign.

You either have to lay the groundwork for a run immediately, try to run late only to be beset by your midterms, or run long after your term ends when you're less relevant.

Virginia Governors are basically operating on a different timeline from the rest of politics.

VP is a different story, though.

In the event her presidential/vice-presidential aspirations falls through for the 2028 election cycle, she always has the option of running for Sen. Tim Kaine's seat in 2030 provided (1) he retires that year and (2) he is re-elected next year for his fourth term.  Gov. Glenn Youngkin would provide a very stiff challenge if he runs against Sen. Kaine next year.  

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

I wonder if she’s already eyeing a 2028 Presidential run if she wins the governorship. That would be awesome.

I disagree about running for President.

The timing of Virginia gubernatorial elections are *very* unfavorable for running a presidential campaign.

You either have to lay the groundwork for a run immediately, try to run late only to be beset by your midterms, or run long after your term ends when you're less relevant.

Virginia Governors are basically operating on a different timeline from the rest of politics.

VP is a different story, though.

In the event her presidential/vice-presidential aspirations falls through for the 2028 election cycle, she always has the option of running for Sen. Tim Kaine's seat in 2030 provided (1) he retires that year and (2) he is re-elected next year for his fourth term.  Gov. Glenn Youngkin would provide a very stiff challenge if he runs against Sen. Kaine next year.  

Winning a Gubernatorial election in an off year is very different then winning a senate election in a presidential year

[Frodo]

I wonder if she’s already eyeing a 2028 Presidential run if she wins the governorship. That would be awesome.

I disagree about running for President.

The timing of Virginia gubernatorial elections are *very* unfavorable for running a presidential campaign.

You either have to lay the groundwork for a run immediately, try to run late only to be beset by your midterms, or run long after your term ends when you're less relevant.

Virginia Governors are basically operating on a different timeline from the rest of politics.

VP is a different story, though.

In the event her presidential/vice-presidential aspirations falls through for the 2028 election cycle, she always has the option of running for Sen. Tim Kaine's seat in 2030 provided (1) he retires that year and (2) he is re-elected next year for his fourth term.  Gov. Glenn Youngkin would provide a very stiff challenge if he runs against Sen. Kaine next year.  

Winning a Gubernatorial election in an off year is very different then winning a senate election in a presidential year

I am not seeing Youngkin beating Sen. Tim Kaine, of course, but he is still a popular governor, and the best Republicans can put forward if his 2024 presidential ambitions are blocked -and if he is not keen to be Trump's sidekick in the Naval Observatory. And then there is the 2026 midterm race against Sen. Mark Warner that he could look forward to if he decides to stick with his present job until the end of his term.  Which would work out splendidly for him if President Biden wins a second term.