Georgia state rep defects to GOP

[Horus]

https://www.thedailybeast.com/democratic-georgia-state-rep-defects-to-gop-after-school-voucher-vote

State rep Meisha Mainor, who usually votes with the Republicans, has officially switched parties. She claims she faced harassment and felt crucified and abandoned by Democrats in the state house. She also says Democrats were putting the interests of illegal aliens ahead of the Black community. Mainor represents district 56 which contains Georgia Tech, as well as portions of Midtown and west Atlanta. It gave Joe Biden 89% of the vote and is 45% Black, 37% white 11% Asian and 5% Hispanic.

Does she survive 2024?

[Spectator]

Obviously not and she doesn’t seem very smart either unless her goal is to get an appointment.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

I find it somewhat hilarious when these state reps are elected as one party, completely abandoned it in office, then act shocked and appalled when they’re treated poorly for being a literal turncoat.

She’s gonna get clobbered in 24, a Republican hasn’t even bothered to run for this seat in over ten years

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Lol she's gonna be gone and irrelevant after the election next year.

[Duke of York]

shes going to lose reelection in a landslide next year.

[Skill and Chance]

Why does it seem like there are so many more D->R state and local switchers than R->D?  It seems notable that we didn't see any R's in the MI or MN legislatures switch when D's finally took control, or VA back in 2020.

[Perlen vor den Schweinen]

Why does it seem like there are so many more D->R state and local switchers than R->D?  It seems notable that we didn't see any R's in the MI or MN legislatures switch when D's finally took control, or VA back in 2020.

The GOP has an easier road to legislative majorities in many states. They also have gained a lot of institutional experience and steady power in many states over the gerrymandered 2010s.

There is simply no good reason for any small time legislator in many states to switch to the Democrats, when they either are in the minority or only have a tenuous hold of the legislature.

[Skill and Chance]

Why does it seem like there are so many more D->R state and local switchers than R->D?  It seems notable that we didn't see any R's in the MI or MN legislatures switch when D's finally took control, or VA back in 2020.

The GOP has an easier road to legislative majorities in many states. They also have gained a lot of institutional experience and steady power in many states over the gerrymandered 2010s.

There is simply no good reason for any small time legislator in many states to switch to the Democrats, when they either are in the minority or only have a tenuous hold of the legislature.

I can see that in many Midwestern states, although Michigan arguably has D-leaning maps now, so the calculus might be a bit different going forward.  However, the one that really shocked me was no R->D switches in VA after the 2019 elections.  Though it didn't quite work out in retrospect, that legit seemed like the end of an era at the time with the R speaker of the HoD who held everything together for the decade retiring.  Reasonable R legislators had to be wondering if they would spend the rest of their careers in the minority, yet no one switched in either chamber.

[coloradocowboi]

Dems have really gotta start vetting their candidates more. A healthy primary probably could've avoided this. My hunch is his narcissism was showing before this, not to mention that a single-issue charter school candidate should be an absolute non-starter for our party in the year 2023. Support for charter schools period should be disqualifying

[wbrocks67]

People are saying on Twitter that she's likely to be redistricted to a much more GOP district - is that true? If so, then it tracks.

[Duke of York]

People are saying on Twitter that she's likely to be redistricted to a much more GOP district - is that true? If so, then it tracks.

dont see how given the current location of her district.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Why does it seem like there are so many more D->R state and local switchers than R->D?  It seems notable that we didn't see any R's in the MI or MN legislatures switch when D's finally took control, or VA back in 2020.

The GOP has an easier road to legislative majorities in many states. They also have gained a lot of institutional experience and steady power in many states over the gerrymandered 2010s.

There is simply no good reason for any small time legislator in many states to switch to the Democrats, when they either are in the minority or only have a tenuous hold of the legislature.

I can see that in many Midwestern states, although Michigan arguably has D-leaning maps now, so the calculus might be a bit different going forward.  However, the one that really shocked me was no R->D switches in VA after the 2019 elections.  Though it didn't quite work out in retrospect, that legit seemed like the end of an era at the time with the R speaker of the HoD who held everything together for the decade retiring.  Reasonable R legislators had to be wondering if they would spend the rest of their careers in the minority, yet no one switched in either chamber.

Maybe because Democrats are far more intolerant of dissent. The GOP is happy to have this woman in their ranks for many reasons, even if she is not a perfectly reliable voter. If Republicans in Virginia switched, how long until Democratic institutions celebrate their ousting like Chap Peterson?

Joe Manchin seems to be the target of a lot more animosity than Lisa Murkowski, let alone Susan Collins. Some people are too obsessed with ideology.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

People are saying on Twitter that she's likely to be redistricted to a much more GOP district - is that true? If so, then it tracks.

dont see how given the current location of her district.

Yea she’d have to carpet bag all the way to Milton to have a chance at re-election.

[Ragnaroni]

Such a brave black woman standing up against the party of FDR?

Welcome to the GOP? She ain't gonna make it unless her district flips from Biden + 80 to GOP + 1. That'd be funny.

[Tekken_Guy]

People are saying on Twitter that she's likely to be redistricted to a much more GOP district - is that true? If so, then it tracks.

No, that is for Cotham in NC, as her Mint Hill base combined with Matthews would create a swing seat. This one’s smack in the middle of deep blue Atlanta.

[David Hume]

Obviously not and she doesn’t seem very smart either unless her goal is to get an appointment.

She should have remain a Dem but caucus with R, and hope Dems don't run a very strong primary against her.

[Duke of York]

Obviously not and she doesn’t seem very smart either unless her goal is to get an appointment.

She should have remain a Dem but caucus with R, and hope Dems don't run a very strong primary against her.

Now she is almost certain to lose reelection.

[BigZuck08]

Considering that she represents a district in the middle of the Atlanta metro that according to DRA average, is 87.4% Democrat, she will not survive in 2024.

Although I do admire her for going with what aligns with her values rather than considering the political implications of it all, because this is really a politically suicidal move, considering that her district is super blue.

[Fuzzy Bear]

Ordinarily, I'd say she was a goner.  If her stance on School Choice is the "winner" she says it is, there might be a surprise.

For blacks to maximize their political power, they ought to all become Republicans at the local and state level and run in GOP primaries, or unite behind one candidate in the primary.  Blacks did that in MS in 2014 when Thad Cochran ran for re-election; blacks who did not vote in a Democratic Primary voted for Thad Cochran in the runoff, saving America from Chris McDaniel.  How much of a more open door did Thad Cochran have to blacks after that?  For those who find that silly, black voters in the South were once Republicans, but fought to enter Democratic primaries because that was where the meaningful voting occurred.