If this is The 2048 map what happened

[OSR stands with Israel]

[Ragnaroni]

I don't know but I love that CA and TX are back where they belong, voting GOP together, forever.

[Хahar 🤔]

I don't know but I love that CA and TX are back where they belong, voting GOP together, forever.

Where exactly are you seeing that?

[Ferguson97]

Nevada and Utah: A combination of a water shortage crisis and gambling being outlawed at the federal level in the early 2040s cause Nevada's population to crater. The state is only expected to be allotted the minimum 3 electoral votes following the 2050 census. Many of the refugees resettle in Utah, turning it into a light red/purple state over the course of a few years.

New Mexico and Texas: Texas continues to experience massive economic and population growth, especially in Austin and its suburbs. This is the fourth time in the row that Democrats have won the state (after having finally broken the seal in 2036). Many Republicans, unhappy with the new direction of the state, move to New Mexico, which recently got a Republican Governor, turning it into a light red state.

Kansas and NE-01: Amazon HQ7 is opened in Wichita, which causes a domino effect of businesses and corporations opening up in Wichita and other Kansas cities. The state is now the de-facto HQ for the "Middle America" branches. The growth spills out into nearby Nebraska, which pushes NE-01 to vote Democrat as well.

Illinois, Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin, Mississippi, and South Carolina: The 'New Great Migration' continues, as Black Midwesterners return to the South. They primarily settle in Georgia, Virginia, North Carolina, which were already blue or trending that way, but also Mississippi and South Carolina. Though Southern whites still vote overwhelmingly Republican, the new Black populations are too much for them to overcome.

New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and New York: The cost of living in the northeast continues to get worse, forcing younger residents to move elsewhere, as they cannot afford rent. These three states are projected to have the oldest populations after the 2050 census.

Maine, Connecticut, and Rhode Island: Republicans in rapidly "blue-ing flee to the more libertarian-leaning New England.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

The realignment is real!

[Ragnaroni]

I don't know but I love that CA and TX are back where they belong, voting GOP together, forever.

Where exactly are you seeing that?

My repilian brain forgot that this site loves inversing the colors....

[Skill and Chance]

1. Republicans gained a bunch of secular voters and Democrats gained a bunch of more religious voters, clearly including some Mormons.  Abortion has probably long since faded away into a state/local issue.  Republicans accept gay rights much more clearly/decisively now and are very protectionist on trade.  Republicans won 30 states and Democrats only 20.  If this was the outcome of a close election and not a significant Republican PV win, this Dem coalition is unsustainable unless they have a large Blue Dog style crossover caucus in the Senate. 

2. Tech is still decisively Dem leaning.  WFH techies have taken over significant parts of Idaho and Alaska like the railroads took over various interior west states in the 19th century.   

3. Kansas is now known for abortion to almost the same degree Nevada is known for gambling.  Having been the only state in the region where abortion remained legal into the long run, it became a very significant part of the economy.

4. The black vote stayed near-unanimously Democratic

5. It would appear that the non-college white vote is now something like 65R/35D everywhere. The  Hispanic vote also appears to be mildly R-leaning (but only mildly, given AZ and TX).  This flipped NV and all the parts of the Northeast that aren't majority college grads by this time.  However, this also means that non-college white voters in the rural South/Plains are no longer near unanimous R in this generation, which is how Texas and the Carolinas finally flipped.  This is the hard part, and IDK exactly how it happened, but Dems somehow gained with rural Southern white voters while maintaining almost all of their support with Southern black voters.  Perhaps the military/veteran vote is now Dem-leaning?

[支持核绿派 (Greens4Nuclear)]

Skill and Chance's analysis combined with Ferguson97's hot take on drought-induced population decline in Nevada seem like the best explanation.

I do wonder if the AAPI voting population being disproportionately of Subcontinental heritage in the South Atlantic states could make the difference in a race where NC, SC, and/or GA are relatively close. I'm sure other factors (like the ethnic composition of those states Hispanic populations) would be more relevant, but this is something to consider on top of all the other probable population shifts in this timeline.

[Vice President Christian Man]

The GOP improved with the WWC & Latinos moving left on economics, while Dems improved with farmers as a result of climate change concerns.  Both parties deprioritized or possibly toned down social issues compared to today making the Northeast more favorable to the GOP and I could see a new Christian Left movement taking place which would explain ID+UT and parts of the Southeast.

[Skill and Chance]

Just noticed the 2nd Dem EV in Nebraska.  If that's a normal occurrence, it means Dem control of the Nebraska legislature is a lock in any world where Reynolds v. Sims still exists.  Also suggests that Oklahoma and the Dakotas are more like 55R/45D affairs than the 65R/35D they are today.