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Poll
Question: How would you rate this year's gubernatorial election in Mississippi?
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Tilt D
 
#5
Pure Tossup
 
#6
Tilt R
 
#7
Lean R
 
#8
Likely R
 
#9
Safe R
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 87

Author Topic: Rate MS-GOV  (Read 12135 times)
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
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E: 0.77, S: -1.04

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« on: June 18, 2023, 09:06:28 PM »

I'd go off on a limb and say Tilt D
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Spectator
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« Reply #1 on: June 18, 2023, 09:19:57 PM »

No shot. It’ll be single digits, but no shot it flips if it couldn’t be done in 2019.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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Jamaica
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #2 on: June 18, 2023, 09:26:31 PM »

It's a Tossup in MS and KY G they are within MOE and a Runoff in LA they haven't poll any of them lately
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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E: -2.97, S: -5.74

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« Reply #3 on: June 18, 2023, 11:01:00 PM »

Brandon Presley will call on the spirit of his dead cousin to get thousands of Mississippi voters to watch his performance of "If I Can Dream" and it will inspire them to go to the polls to vote for Presley in overwhelming numbers.

If this was a Disney movie, that is.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #4 on: June 19, 2023, 12:23:54 AM »

Safe R
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Xing
xingkerui
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #5 on: June 19, 2023, 01:30:07 AM »

Safe R, even if Reeves wins by an underwhelming margin.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #6 on: June 19, 2023, 06:20:25 AM »

Safe R. It's Mississippi.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #7 on: June 19, 2023, 06:33:08 AM »


This should be the state's new motto. 
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #8 on: June 19, 2023, 07:20:16 AM »


I might not agree with you on everything, but I think I agree on this.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #9 on: June 19, 2023, 09:25:09 AM »

Safe R
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Del Tachi
Republican95
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E: 0.52, S: 1.46

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« Reply #10 on: June 19, 2023, 11:40:54 AM »

Likely R.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #11 on: June 19, 2023, 02:56:47 PM »

Safe Republican.

I predict Reeves to win 55-42%.
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Galeel
Oashigo
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« Reply #12 on: June 19, 2023, 03:49:05 PM »


All that needs to be said really
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gerritcole
goatofalltrades
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« Reply #13 on: June 19, 2023, 06:18:44 PM »

what happened to phillip gunn running in this race
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Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
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« Reply #14 on: June 19, 2023, 06:30:19 PM »

Likely R rapidly approaching Safe R
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #15 on: June 19, 2023, 11:38:16 PM »

Likely R. It's not happening, but unique circumstances in the race (Presley being a strong candidate, Reeves being a horrible candidate) keep it from being Safe R, but ultimately the partisanship of the state will be just too strong. I think, at best, Presley could see a high-single digit loss. 
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #16 on: June 20, 2023, 12:42:17 PM »

A mental exercize: would Jim Eastland-type candidate (i mean Eastland of 1970th, not 1950th, i.e. - conservative, but, essentially, not overly racist anymore) win governor election NOW (suppose - he is running unopposed in primary, and nomination is guaranteed), or Democratic label would sink even such candidate? Does final result depends on candidate and his/her views or purely on party membership?
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Del Tachi
Republican95
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E: 0.52, S: 1.46

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« Reply #17 on: June 20, 2023, 01:34:59 PM »

A mental exercize: would Jim Eastland-type candidate (i mean Eastland of 1970th, not 1950th, i.e. - conservative, but, essentially, not overly racist anymore) win governor election NOW (suppose - he is running unopposed in primary, and nomination is guaranteed), or Democratic label would sink even such candidate? Does final result depends on candidate and his/her views or purely on party membership?

I think it would come down to incumbency.  Jim Hood would have been re-elected as AG in 2019, and I think he could have again this year.  Incumbent senator Hob Bryan is a Democrat who represents a 57/40 White district (SD-07.)  He's drawn a semi-serious GOP challenger this year but is still expected to win.  If he loses in an upset it would be confirmation that the Democrat label is 100% toxic to White voters in MS. 
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Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
Shaula
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« Reply #18 on: June 20, 2023, 06:22:29 PM »

Presley just came out in favor of kids transitioning...
Somehow this issue is something literally no democrats stray from the party line on, even for self-proclaimed "blue dogs" on Mississippi.
I support it but in a race like this it's bad politics.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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Jamaica
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #19 on: June 20, 2023, 06:26:19 PM »

I put it Lean D
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #20 on: June 20, 2023, 09:15:41 PM »

Presley just came out in favor of kids transitioning...
Somehow this issue is something literally no democrats stray from the party line on, even for self-proclaimed "blue dogs" on Mississippi.
I support it but in a race like this it's bad politics.

Any single-issue anti-trans voter was never going to vote for Presley.
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Gracile
gracile
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Junior Chimp
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E: -8.00, S: -7.65

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« Reply #21 on: June 20, 2023, 09:17:13 PM »

Safe R. This could end up being surprisingly close, but the Republican vote is just too inflexible for Presley to pull out a win.
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Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
Shaula
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« Reply #22 on: June 20, 2023, 09:27:20 PM »

Presley just came out in favor of kids transitioning...
Somehow this issue is something literally no democrats stray from the party line on, even for self-proclaimed "blue dogs" on Mississippi.
I support it but in a race like this it's bad politics.

Any single-issue anti-trans voter was never going to vote for Presley.
It positions him on the left side of the culture war, and if he's going to win in Mississippi Presley can't let Reeves portray him as socially left. This is Mississippi, being pro-trans is NOT a good strategy as a Democrat if you're already in an uphill battle.
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smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #23 on: June 21, 2023, 12:31:06 AM »

A mental exercize: would Jim Eastland-type candidate (i mean Eastland of 1970th, not 1950th, i.e. - conservative, but, essentially, not overly racist anymore) win governor election NOW (suppose - he is running unopposed in primary, and nomination is guaranteed), or Democratic label would sink even such candidate? Does final result depends on candidate and his/her views or purely on party membership?

I think it would come down to incumbency.  Jim Hood would have been re-elected as AG in 2019, and I think he could have again this year.  Incumbent senator Hob Bryan is a Democrat who represents a 57/40 White district (SD-07.)  He's drawn a semi-serious GOP challenger this year but is still expected to win.  If he loses in an upset it would be confirmation that the Democrat label is 100% toxic to White voters in MS. 

Thanks! I watch that race too...
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TDAS04
Atlas Star
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« Reply #24 on: June 21, 2023, 12:35:41 AM »

The Democrat will lose, whether it’s a gay black liberal greenie or Theodore Bilbo’s ghost. Pressley will decisively lose.
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