Manitoba Election 2023 - October 3rd
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  Manitoba Election 2023 - October 3rd
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Author Topic: Manitoba Election 2023 - October 3rd  (Read 8054 times)
DistingFlyer
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Posts: 652
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Political Matrix
E: 0.25, S: -1.74

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« Reply #175 on: October 13, 2023, 03:10:30 PM »

Final tallies completed; have updated the spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_AEKm1boduxhnxA4JH2B9nIf-sMegfG2/edit?usp=drive_link&rtpof=true&sd=true) & pdf (https://drive.google.com/file/d/125Pg2q83VOKRHcWR1nscl8vBshx3FHAC/view?usp=drive_link).

The NDP majority (11) & popular vote margin (3.8%) are almost identical to the 1981 result.

For the fourth time running, the average Tory margin (in both absolute & percentage terms) was larger than the average NDP margin, although the NDP claimed the safest seat in terms of both margin of victory (Wolseley, 65.5%) & share of vote (Flin Flon, 76.3%) for the first time since 2003.

The NDP's 29th riding in terms of margin of victory was Kirkfield Park, won by 5.8% (2% more than the overall result); the NDP advantage in terms of vote distribution still holds, though not by as much as it did during the Doer-Selinger years (9% in 2011, 11% in 2007 & 6% in 2003).
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DistingFlyer
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 652
Canada


Political Matrix
E: 0.25, S: -1.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #176 on: October 13, 2023, 03:18:10 PM »
« Edited: October 13, 2023, 03:35:44 PM by DistingFlyer »

A polling graph from the 2019 election to last week; although there was a good spread between the various polls taken in the last couple of weeks, they averaged pretty closely to the outcome.

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