Kentucky November Governor Race will decide who wins Presidency in 2024
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Author Topic: Kentucky November Governor Race will decide who wins Presidency in 2024  (Read 815 times)
2016
Junior Chimp
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« on: May 17, 2023, 10:14:12 AM »
The Bluegrass State has been a great "BELLWETHER STATE" for upcoming Presidential Elections for the last 20+ years. With the exemption of 1999 when Democrat Paul Patton won the Governors Office and Republican George W. Bush won the Presidency in 2000 the Party that wins the Statehouse in Frankfort usually wins the upcoming Presidential Election that follows.

2003: Ernie Fletcher (R) wins KY Governor / George W. Bush (R) get reelected President in 2004.

2007: Steve Beshear (D) wins KY Governor / Barack Obama (D) wins Presidency in 2008.

2011: Steve Beshear (D) reelected for KY Governor / Barack Obama (D) reelected President in 2012.

2015: Matt Bevin (R) wins KY Governor / Donald J. Trump (R) wins Presidency in 2016.

2019: Andy Beshear (D) wins KY Governor / Joseph R. Biden (D) wins Presidency in 2020.

2023: ... / 2024 President: ...

Is this just a coincidence? I don't think so!

Your thoughts?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2023, 10:29:03 AM »
Yes, it's just a coincidence.
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Xing
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« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2023, 11:16:56 PM »
MA-GOV also “predicted” which party would win the White House two years later… until it didn’t.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2023, 01:30:23 AM »
This could also read back in 2019: OH always voted with the winner of a presidential election since 1960.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
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« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2023, 04:51:14 AM »
We could very easily have a scenario this time around where Cameron unseats Beshear in 2023 then Biden gets re-elected in 2024.
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EastwoodS
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« Reply #5 on: May 20, 2023, 06:09:54 AM »
Quote from: 2016 on May 17, 2023, 10:14:12 AM
The Bluegrass State has been a great "BELLWETHER STATE" for upcoming Presidential Elections for the last 20+ years. With the exemption of 1999 when Democrat Paul Patton won the Governors Office and Republican George W. Bush won the Presidency in 2000 the Party that wins the Statehouse in Frankfort usually wins the upcoming Presidential Election that follows.

2003: Ernie Fletcher (R) wins KY Governor / George W. Bush (R) get reelected President in 2004.

2007: Steve Beshear (D) wins KY Governor / Barack Obama (D) wins Presidency in 2008.

2011: Steve Beshear (D) reelected for KY Governor / Barack Obama (D) reelected President in 2012.

2015: Matt Bevin (R) wins KY Governor / Donald J. Trump (R) wins Presidency in 2016.

2019: Andy Beshear (D) wins KY Governor / Joseph R. Biden (D) wins Presidency in 2020.

2023: ... / 2024 President: ...

Is this just a coincidence? I don't think so!

Your thoughts?
lol, I've told you all this for years. this is nothing new.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: May 20, 2023, 06:38:16 AM »
« Edited: May 20, 2023, 06:49:42 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »
Quote from: America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS on May 19, 2023, 04:51:14 AM
We could very easily have a scenario this time around where Cameron unseats Beshear in 2023 then Biden gets re-elected in 2024.


The last KY poll had Beshear up 9 and Reeves up 3 Beshesr and Presley are blue dogs like Mary Landrieu

🛑 Dooming on GOV BESHEAR and Gov Elect  Presley chances Shawn Wilson is still in it it's a runoff but likely to lose
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #7 on: May 20, 2023, 06:49:35 PM »
This is true until it isn't. It's been a surprising coincidence and pattern thus far, but many bellwethers and conventional wisdoms have evaporated in recent times.

That said, I do expect both Beshear and Biden to win as of today, but they don't necessarily mean anything about the other.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #8 on: May 20, 2023, 11:35:44 PM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 on May 19, 2023, 01:30:23 AM
This could also read back in 2019: OH always voted with the winner of a presidential election since 1960.

2019, eh: Oooh ooh pick me, pick me...the opposite result of the Louisiana Governor since 1995.

And hey maybe that result was an outlier, the state's going Republican with JBE out anyway...so...
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