Is Biden more or less likely to be re-elected than the beginning of the year?

[Tekken_Guy]

Is Biden more likely or less likely to win re-election than at the beginning of the year?

[SaneDemocrat]

Less likely

[Tekken_Guy]

Less likely

Can you at least explain?

[SaneDemocrat]

Less likely

Can you at least explain?

Economy isnt getting better

[Tekken_Guy]

Less likely

Can you at least explain?

Economy isnt getting better

Is it getting worse?

[SaneDemocrat]

Voters think so

[Pericles]

Trump has surged ahead in the Republican primary, so more likely.

[the artist formerly known as catmusic]

More likely imho. I feel that some of the GOP's recent antics regarding kicking members out of state houses, the abortion and trans stuff, really do leave people with a bad taste in their mouth. Of course, Trump being the clear favorite again is more reason for Biden to be favored.

[oldtimer]

Less likely.

At the beginning it was 100%, now I have it around 60-70%.

Negative:
The recovery of his approvals has stalled at a low level.
His primary looks more difficult at this stage than Trump's.
Bellow 50 in all swing states, and even in some safe states (N.H. N.Y.).
Prosecution of Trump backfired politically (polls look a bit better for Trump).
Banking sector looking more unstable.

Positive:
The polling average has him consistently tied with Trump at 43-44%, although Trump needs a lead of 3-4%.
Leading Trump by around 3 in all swing states.
Strong with old white voters.
Winning the war without american soldiers.

[SaneDemocrat]

Less likely.

At the beginning it was 100%, now I have it around 60-70%.

Negative:
The recovery of his approvals has stalled at a low level.
His primary looks more difficult at this stage than Trump's.
Bellow 50 in all swing states, and even in some safe states (N.H. N.Y.).
Prosecution of Trump backfired politically (polls look a bit better for Trump).
Banking sector looking more unstable.

Positive:
The polling average has him consistently tied with Trump at 43-44%, although Trump needs a lead of 3-4%.
Leading Trump by around 3 in all swing states.
Strong with old white voters.
Winning the war without american soldiers.

I agree

[It’s so Joever]

About the same. Nobody can really point to anything that has fundamentally changed…so yeah.

[Reactionary Libertarian]

About the same. Nobody can really point to anything that has fundamentally changed…so yeah.

DeSantis, the strongest GOP candidate, signed a toxic 6-week abortion ban that effectively dooms his chances in a general election. I’d say that has fundamentally changed things.

Biden is more likely to win now.

[American2020]

Sanders: Biden could ‘win in a landslide’

Julia Mueller
Sun, April 30, 2023 at 1:59 PM GMT
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) on Sunday said President Biden, who kicked off his reelection campaign last week, could “win in a landslide” in 2024.

Sanders, who ran against Biden in the 2020 race, said it’s “no great secret” that he and the president “have strong differences of opinion,” but stressed that he thinks Biden is the clear choice for voters given the current political backdrop.

“We live in a nation where you have a major political party, the Republican Party, where many- not all, but many of their leadership doesn’t even believe in democracy, they maintain the myth that Trump won the last election. They’re trying to keep people from voting. They’re trying to deny women the right to control their own bodies,” Sanders said on CNN’s “State of the Union.”

“If you believe in democracy, you want to see more people vote, not fewer people vote, I think the choice is pretty clear. And that choice is Biden,” he said.

https://us.yahoo.com/news/sanders-biden-could-win-landslide-135908296.html

[Sir Mohamed]

Sanders: Biden could ‘win in a landslide’

Julia Mueller
Sun, April 30, 2023 at 1:59 PM GMT
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) on Sunday said President Biden, who kicked off his reelection campaign last week, could “win in a landslide” in 2024.

Sanders, who ran against Biden in the 2020 race, said it’s “no great secret” that he and the president “have strong differences of opinion,” but stressed that he thinks Biden is the clear choice for voters given the current political backdrop.

“We live in a nation where you have a major political party, the Republican Party, where many- not all, but many of their leadership doesn’t even believe in democracy, they maintain the myth that Trump won the last election. They’re trying to keep people from voting. They’re trying to deny women the right to control their own bodies,” Sanders said on CNN’s “State of the Union.”

“If you believe in democracy, you want to see more people vote, not fewer people vote, I think the choice is pretty clear. And that choice is Biden,” he said.

https://us.yahoo.com/news/sanders-biden-could-win-landslide-135908296.html

It almost seems like Sanders has grown to one of Biden's biggest allies in congress. Who would have thought some might say, though when you actually think about this it's not too surprising as Biden proved to me much more progressive POTUS than anticipated in the beginning. And Sanders isn't someone who's holding personal grudges, he himself was always more about the issues he cared about rather than personal promotion.

[indietraveler]

I voted about the same. He obviously has incumbency advantage despite his age, but it's still way early.

[Sir Mohamed]

I voted about the same. He obviously has incumbency advantage despite his age, but it's still way early.

Yup, I voted the same. Though one could argue slightly more likely has Trump is more likely to end up as his challenger instead of DeSantis compared to the beginning of this year.