Which Republican can win back Salt Lake County?

[Suburbia]

The last Republican to win SLC was Mitt Romney, obviously a favorite son......DeSantis? Haley? Christie?

[xavier110]

She’s gone

[Roronoa D. Law]

The trend is going the other way so it hard to say who would be able to win it. On paper Biden was a better fit for Lorain county than Obama or Hillary and he lost it. If I had guess it would probably be Haley but she probably end up losing it too.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Sununu seems like he would be a good fit

[Spectator]

It’s gone.

[jamestroll]

The county trended slightly Republican in 2020 from 2016. Mormons are trending Democratic, but Salt Lake County does non-Mormon Republicans and often times from transplants which stunted the state's Democratic trend somewhat.

I still believe that GOP performance can be inflated here due to lack of a strong statewide Democratic party.

Democrats in countywide offices did outperform Biden in 2022. The only Republican who won countywide, if I remember correctly, was not even contested by Democrats. County Auditor.

Democrats only won the countywide congressional vote by like 50 to 46 last year though, mostly due to incumbency and weak Democratic campaigns.


basically: likely not happening for the GOP.

[The Right Honourable Martin Brian Mulroney PC CC GOQ]

The county trended slightly Republican in 2020 from 2016.

I'm not sure what happened down ballot, but Salt Lake County didn't trend Republican at the Presidential level in 2020. Trump gained 9.5%, Biden gained 11% (of course, Utah had a third party factor in 2016).

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

The county trended slightly Republican in 2020 from 2016.

I'm not sure what happened down ballot, but Salt Lake County didn't trend Republican at the Presidential level in 2020. Trump gained 9.5%, Biden gained 11% (of course, Utah had a third party factor in 2016).

That is trending Republican, since the NPV shifted more Democrat than that. I believe you're confusing trending with shifting

[The Right Honourable Martin Brian Mulroney PC CC GOQ]

The county trended slightly Republican in 2020 from 2016.

I'm not sure what happened down ballot, but Salt Lake County didn't trend Republican at the Presidential level in 2020. Trump gained 9.5%, Biden gained 11% (of course, Utah had a third party factor in 2016).

That is trending Republican, since the NPV shifted more Democrat than that. I believe you're confusing trending with shifting

Lol the difference is so small as to be basically negligible. To be very precise, Salt Lake County trended Republican relative to NPV by 0.35 points. That can hardly be called a trend.

Salt Lake (and Utah in general) is especially non-analogous to the general trends of 2020, because McMullin pulled a lot of Republican votes in 2016. It's hard to say how it would have voted in 2016 if McMullin wasn't a factor.

[TodayJunior]

N/A. Utah may be another surpassingly close race next year. Maybe within 10-15%. The signs are there.

[seskoog]

None. Salt Lake County is Safe D next year.

[Suburbia]

It’s gone.

And that should put a chill down Republicans' spine....SALT LAKE COUNTY, the home of the Romneys, Marie Osmond, John Stockton, prominent Republicans, have trended Democratic since 2008.......

Utah is a white state, and if the GOP can't compete in a white urban right-leaning county, they have a lot of problems.

[TDAS04]

Mitt Romney?  I'm not even sure about him.

[jamestroll]

The county trended slightly Republican in 2020 from 2016.

I'm not sure what happened down ballot, but Salt Lake County didn't trend Republican at the Presidential level in 2020. Trump gained 9.5%, Biden gained 11% (of course, Utah had a third party factor in 2016).

Generally Salt Lake County votes more GOP in statewide races than county wide races. Mostly because the statewide Democratic party is WEAK.

Cox (Rethug gov) Won It By 5 Points, and Reyes (a Rethug attorney general) lost it by like 4 points.

If it was not for LDS Influence (a rethug fundraising machine), Salt Lake County would be like a 62 to 37 D county.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

N/A. Utah may be another surpassingly close race next year. Maybe within 10-15%. The signs are there.

Yeah. I think Utah could be a ~7-8 point race