AZ-SEN (PPP/Gallego internal): Gallego +7

[wbrocks67]

Gallego (D) 42% (+7)
Lake (R) 35%
Sinema (I-inc) 14%

Gallego (D) 43%
Lamon (R) 27%
Sinema (I) 16%

Gallego (D) 43%
Lamb (R) 33%
Sinema (I) 15%

Gallego fav: 39/28 (+11)
Sinema fav: 27/50 (-23)

The numbers are similar if you plug Jim Lamon or Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb in as the Republican candidate.

https://jezebel.com/kyrsten-sinema-has-a-net-favorability-of-negative-23-p-1850367190

[Sir Mohamed]

Internals should be treated with caution from all sides. That said, I really fail to see Sinema breaking double digits.

[Pollster]

Surprisingly low amount of undecideds for a poll this far out - if this is what the picture really looks like this could wind up being a relatively stable race.

[oldtimer]

Surprisingly low amount of undecideds for a poll this far out - if this is what the picture really looks like this could wind up being a relatively stable race.

From the moment Hobbs won Arizona, Sinema was politically dead.

It was proof that they no longer need a moderate to win it, and it was safe to replace her with someone more reliable.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Gallego is unopposed in the Democratic primary. If he has the resources this is a great chance to define himself and tear down Sinema while Republicans try to sort out who their own nominee will be.

[Spectator]

Gallego winning would probably put him in a prime position to run for President in 2028 or 2032. Young Hispanic Marine from Arizona?

[President Johnson]

Internals should be treated with caution from all sides. That said, I really fail to see Sinema breaking double digits.

Yeah, I doubt she will as well. Third party/indy candidates always tend to poll better than actually perform. Gallego has a good chance against Lake I would assume, though a seven point margin seems a stretch too far. More like two or three.

[wbrocks67]

Added Lamon and Lamb. Sinema always gets 14-16%, Gallego always gets 42-43%

[Zedonathin2020]

Added Lamon and Lamb. Sinema always gets 14-16%, Gallego always gets 42-43%

So no matter what Gallego always manages to triumph? This does put a smile on my face

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Glorious numbers.

[Yoda]

Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahah

*gasps for air*

hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha

Get absolutely f*****, Sinema. Good riddance to you and your McConnell-loving, Wall Street welfare-loving, contrarian, "independent" bulls***.

[oldtimer]

Gallego winning would probably put him in a prime position to run for President in 2028 or 2032. Young Hispanic Marine from Arizona?

Wouldn't win the Presidential Primary.

It's those who ride the wave, not go against it that have a better chance.

The Democratic party is becoming more Upper Class White, and his region will already be represented by Harris and Newsom, in the 2030's you know Jon Ossoff is going to get it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All the Rs say that Rs are winning AZ no they arent

[Yoda]

Added Lamon and Lamb. Sinema always gets 14-16%, Gallego always gets 42-43%

So do we think Masters would do worse than any of these 3 they polled, or better than one or more of them?

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Did they poll KTR?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Nice poll

[DaleCooper]

As it stands now, I think it's almost certain that she'll take more votes from Democrats than Republicans, but is there much reason to believe that Sinema will make it onto the ballot at all? From my understanding it is very hard because her signatures would have to come from registered independent voters. I guess that's doable with the kind of GOP assistance she's likely to get, and the GOP is the only group of people with any reason to donate to her, but at that point she's in danger of becoming a de facto conservative third party candidate. There's a very real possibility that the reasonable GOP voters who are disturbed by Lake's insanity, but would vote for her anyway because they'll never vote Democrat, might vote for the incumbent indy senator that Dems hate.

Either way, if she's on the ballot there is absolutely no way she's getting close to 15% of the vote.

[SnowLabrador]

I've said this before and I'll say it again: If we manage to hold Montana and Ohio somehow, but still lose the Senate because Sinema spoiled it for Lake, I am going to be irate.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I've said this before and I'll say it again: If we manage to hold Montana and Ohio somehow, but still lose the Senate because Sinema spoiled it for Lake, I am going to be irate.

Lol did you see the TX poll all we need is OH and AZ and we are competetive in FL, MO, TX and MT

Do you believe in Edays whom got 80 M voted in 20 Ds did not Rs

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Surprisingly low amount of undecideds for a poll this far out - if this is what the picture really looks like this could wind up being a relatively stable race.

From the moment Hobbs won Arizona, Sinema was politically dead.

It was proof that they no longer need a moderate to win it, and it was safe to replace her with someone more reliable.

Sinema isn’t a moderate, she’s a Republican

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Surprisingly low amount of undecideds for a poll this far out - if this is what the picture really looks like this could wind up being a relatively stable race.

From the moment Hobbs won Arizona, Sinema was politically dead.

It was proof that they no longer need a moderate to win it, and it was safe to replace her with someone more reliable.

Sinema isn’t a moderate, she’s a Republican

She is a blue dog just like Robert Byrd, Jefferson and Justice were they are Conserv Ds, they also put up confederate flags up but there are no more they are in museums but Justice and Sinema are the last Conserv Ds Zell Miller did the same thing and voted for Bush W tax cuts

That's why Jefferson was a Conserv not Secular he supported slavery

[justfollowingtheelections]

Sinema would be crazy to run IMO.

[Zedonathin2020]

Sinema would be crazy to run IMO.

Yes, but at this point her ego is the size of Jupiter, she'd rather embarrass herself and lose at 5% rather than admit her inevitable defeat and drop out.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Gallego winning would probably put him in a prime position to run for President in 2028 or 2032. Young Hispanic Marine from Arizona?

I'd love to see it happen. I think one of the most under-discussed issues for Democrats has been the lack of viable Hispanic presidential candidates

[Alben Barkley]

Surprisingly low amount of undecideds for a poll this far out - if this is what the picture really looks like this could wind up being a relatively stable race.

From the moment Hobbs won Arizona, Sinema was politically dead.

It was proof that they no longer need a moderate to win it, and it was safe to replace her with someone more reliable.

Sinema isn’t a moderate, she’s a Republican

She is a blue dog just like Robert Byrd, Jefferson and Justice were they are Conserv Ds, they also put up confederate flags up but there are no more they are in museums but Justice and Sinema are the last Conserv Ds Zell Miller did the same thing and voted for Bush W tax cuts

That's why Jefferson was a Conserv not Secular he supported slavery

Robert Byrd was, in the end, a loyal and reliable Democrat. I will not have this Byrd slander by comparing him to Sinema! Not even from you OC!